Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Jaguars at Texans

6:00 pm • CBS
24 - 21

Jaguars at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jaguars
2-5
-1.5
-1-105
o48.5-107
-112
Texans
5-2
u48
+1-115
u48.5-110
-105
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
November 26, 2023
NRG StadiumHouston
Jaguars vs. Texans Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
331d ago
Last 30d: 165-162-3 (+24.9u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer+270
1.16u
HOU +340 (Live)
0.5u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
331d ago
Last 30d: 49-48-2 (+0.7u)
HOU +110
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
331d ago
Last 30d: 121-118-2 (+10.6u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer+180
$90.00
YBK Picks.com
331d ago
Last 30d: 47-47-0 (-7.9u)
JAC -1.5-105
2u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
331d ago
Last 30d: 30-42-1 (-16.2u)
JAC -115
1u
Stephen Keech
Stephen Keech
331d ago
Last 30d: 47-18-1 (+20.1u)
HOU +1.5-110
0.55u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
331d ago
Last 30d: 11-14-0 (-4.3u)
HOU +1.5-110
1.1u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
331d ago
Last 30d: 23-25-3 (-4.1u)
HOU +1.5-110
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
331d ago
Last 30d: 35-25-0 (+6.6u)
HOU +1.5-110
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
331d ago
Last 30d: 121-118-2 (+10.6u)
JAC -122
$50.00
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
331d ago
Last 30d: 88-137-0 (-27.1u)
JAC -125
0.8u
It’s gotta be the Jags… gotta be the Jags
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
331d ago
Last 30d: 130-173-5 (-12.9u)
Under 48-110
0.5u
Stephen Keech
Stephen Keech
331d ago
Last 30d: 47-18-1 (+20.1u)
E.Engram o4.5 Recs-125
0.5u
HR
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
332d ago
Last 30d: 165-162-3 (+24.9u)
HOU +1.5-105
2.1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
332d ago
Last 30d: 41-49-0 (+14.8u)
E.Engram o4.5 Recs-130
0.77u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-12-odds-picks-preview
E.Engram 7+ Receptions+300
0.25u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
332d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU +2.5-110
1.1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
333d ago
Last 30d: 35-85-0 (-1.9u)
C.Stroud o0.5 Int+115
0.5u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
333d ago
Last 30d: 20-24-0 (-3.3u)
HOU +1.5-110
1u
Joe Nelson
Joe Nelson
335d ago
Last 30d: 2-9-1 (-6.0u)
JAC -1.5-110
0.5u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
335d ago
Last 30d: 7-12-1 (-6.2u)
HOU +1.5-110
1.1u
Foxhole
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
335d ago
Last 30d: 13-15-2 (-3.8u)
HOU +1.5-110
1.1u
Raybon 1
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
336d ago
Last 30d: 41-49-0 (+14.8u)
HOU +2.5-110
1u
Best bets pod Week 12!
Collin Whitchurch
Collin Whitchurch
336d ago
Last 30d: 175-160-3 (+1.1u)
HOU +1.5-110
0.55u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
336d ago
Last 30d: 24-12-0 (+8.8u)
HOU +1.5-110
1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
336d ago
Last 30d: 8-28-0 (-13.9u)
HOU -102
1u
Available at FanDuel. For the 11th consecutive game, the Texans' moneyline is a value by my model. What a wild year this has been. But the model has been good with this so far as the Texans are 6-4, and four of the wins were at plus money. Here, they're -102 against the Jags (though you can find them at plus money elsewhere), but even that sells them short a bit. I've bumped up the Jags in my model after their offense looked back on track last week with Zay Jones out there. Even with that, I've got the Texans favored by 1.9 at home, implying there's value at this number. Even after CJ Stroud's three-pick day, the Texans rank fourth in numberFire's schedule-adjusted passing efficiency, and they're 10th in overall offense. The ground game has been more efficient of late, making it less detrimental when they decide to pound the rock more than they should. I respect the Jags and think they're better than they've played to this point, but I do agree with the model that the Texans are still undervalued.

PRO Insights

Jaguars logo

Jaguars

JAC Insights
  • Jaguars logoThe Jaguars have thrown for 20+ yards on 12 of 96 attempts since Week 8 -- tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Texans allowed 20+ yards on 11.0% of attempts since Week 8 -- tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Texans logo

Texans

HOU Insights
  • Texans logoThe Jaguars have run successful plays on 17.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure since Week 8 -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Texans have pressured opposing QBs on 37.0% of passing plays since Week 8 -- best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Jaguars vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

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    Our Staff's NFL Best Bets for the 4 ET Slate

    Action Network Staff
    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
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    NFL Best Bets: Sunday Late-Slate Player Props

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    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
  • NFL Week 12 Picks for Every Game, Every Team article feature image

    NFL Week 12 Picks for Every Game, Every Team

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    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
  • PropBetGuy's Favorite NFL Week 12 Picks article feature image

    PropBetGuy's Favorite NFL Week 12 Picks

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    Nov 26, 2023 UTC
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Jaguars vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

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Line Movement Tracker

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Jaguars vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Texans
3-41-22-22-41-0
Jaguars
3-40-22-11-32-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Texans
2-50-32-22-40-1
Jaguars
4-31-11-23-11-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Texans
5-2N/AN/A5-10-1
Jaguars
2-5N/AN/A2-20-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 19thARIW 21-16-5.5 LU 48HOU -240
Nov 12th@CINW 30-27+5.5 WO 46HOU +205
Nov 5thTBW 39-37-2.5 LO 39.5HOU -149
Oct 29th@CARL 13-15-3.5 LU 43CAR -166
Oct 15thNOW 20-13+2 WU 42.5HOU +110

Jaguars vs. Texans Injury Updates

Jaguars Injuries

  • Travis Etienne
    RB

    Etienne is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Tyson Campbell
    CB

    Campbell is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

Texans Injuries

  • Jimmie Ward
    S

    Ward is out with groin

    Out

  • Robert Woods
    WR

    Woods is out with foot

    Out

  • Nico Collins
    WR

    Collins is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Kamari Lassiter
    DB

    Lassiter is out with shoulder

    Out

Team Stats
445
Total Yards
352
68
Total Plays
58
6.5
Yards Per Play
6.1
364
YDS
304
23/38
Comps/Atts
26/36
9.579
YPA
6.525
1/1
TDs/INTs
2/0
0/0
Sacks/Yards
4/43
81
Rush Yards
91
30
Attempts
18
2.7
YPC
5.056
1
TDs
1

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/3 66.67%
Redzone
3/3 100%
7/13 0%
3rd Down
6/13 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

22
Total
19
13
Pass
12
5
Rush
6
4
Penalty
1
6/35
Penalties/Yards
7/49
33:54
Possession
26:06

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds Comparison

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Jaguars at Texans Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Jaguars
2-5
o24.5+104
u24.5-123
Texans
5-2
o23.5-126
u23.5-105