Patriots vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - December 31, 2023
Patriots at Bills
6:00 pm • CBSPatriots at Bills Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Patriots 2-0 | +14 | +14.5-105 | o40-112 | +750 |
 Bills 0-2 | u40 | -14.5-115 | u40-108 | -1200 |
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Patriots vs. Bills Expert Picks
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-15-1 (-2.5u)
Under 51.5 (Live)-120
0.2u
Full game total is toast after a joke of a start. 20 points with very little offense from either team. Small play on what will hopefully be a lower scoring game going forward
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
BUF -8.5 (Live)-110
0.5u
Why are the Bills such bozos man wtf is this
BUF -14-110
1u
Fading the Pats after a road win - Buffalo mob deep
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 152-171-4 (-0.8u)
Under 40.5-110
0.55u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 58-52-3 (-0.1u)
BUF u26.5 Team Total+104
2u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 11-19-2 (-17.3u)
BUF -14.5-105
2u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 124-126-9 (-4.4u)
Under 40.5-118
1u
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
NE +14.5-110
0.91u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 40.5-110
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
E.Elliott Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
2u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -13.5-115
1.15u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-15-1 (-2.5u)
Under 40.5-115
1.15u
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -13-110
1u
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -12-105
1.05u
Stuckey 1
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.1u)
BUF -13-110
1.1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -12-110
0.6u
Streak on the line
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 18-42-0 (-11.8u)
Over 40.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. I'm showing value in the Bills' spread at -11.5, but with it being between key numbers, I'd rather just take the game total over. My model has that at 44.3, a good chunk above this mark. As of now, the weather in Buffalo looks great for December with temperatures above freezing and just 9 mph winds. That should allow these offenses to operate at full capacity. Neither defense has been one to write home about, and the Bills have shown they can generate explosives whether they decide to lean on the run or the pass. Pace in this game is middling, so it's nothing to drag things down much. I don't see a ton of reasons to be wary of this number, especially as we get a win on a key number of 41. The Bills could get there by themselves, so this is my preferred route to exposure to them in this spot.
PRO Insights
Patriots
NE Insights
- Featured InsightThe Patriots have allowed 5.9 yards per dropback when defending on plays to the left since Week 13 -- 9th-best in NFL; the Bills have thrown for 5.9 yards per attempt on plays to the left side of the field since Week 13 -- 9th-worst in NFL.
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Bills
BUF Insights
- Featured InsightThe Bills have gained at least 5 yards on 45.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed at least 5 yards on 44.0% of first down plays since Week 13 -- T-8th-worst in NFL.
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Patriots vs. Bills Previews & Analysis
Patriots vs. Bills Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Patriots vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Patriots vs. Bills Injury Updates
Patriots Injuries
Bills Injuries
- Grant DuBoseWR
DuBose is out with head
Out
Team Stats
Patriots vs. Bills Odds Comparison
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Patriots at Bills Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Patriots 2-0 | o12.5-110 | u12.5+100 |
Bills 0-2 | o27.5-102 | u27.5-116 |