Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS

New York Jets

5-12

6 - 32

Buffalo Bills

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Jets 5-12	+7.5	+8.5-110	o39.5-105	+300
Bills 2-1	u39.5	-8.5-110	u39.5-109	-380

Sunday 9:25 p.m.

November 19, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

B.Hall o39.5 Rec Yds+998

BUF -8.5-110

S.Diggs o6.5 Recs+100

0.5u

S.Diggs o75.5 Rec Yds-106

0.5u

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+110

0.5u

NYJ +8.5-110

B.Hall u3.5 Recs-110

NYJ +8.5-110

0.55u

Under 39.5-110

0.5u

J.Allen o26.5 Rush Yds-130

D.Kincaid u18.5 Longest Reception-110

aDOT of 3.9 prior to a 22 yard TD grab last week against denver who sucks vs TE, Jets are way better. what even is this line (H/T Ben Wolby on Twitter)

Over 39.5-108

$1.00

G.Wilson Anytime TD Scorer+240

@charliedisturco

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

@GDAWG5000

BUF -8.5-110

$100.00

BUF -8.5-110

0.91u

Under 19.5 (1H)+100

@ChrisRaybon

Under 40-114

BUF o24-110

0.91u

Haven’t covered this line in 3 games - new coordinator

J.Cook o12.5 Longest Rush-114

1.14u

J.Cook u14.5 Longest Rush-120

J.Allen 2+ TDs+1100

0.25u

Bet at FanDuel. Would play to +1000.

NYJ +7-110

1.5u

Every Game Every Team! https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-week-11-betting-preview-for-every-game-every-team

D.Kincaid o4.5 Recs-140

B365. Good at DK @ -145 Over in 4/L4, with a 22% target share now as the sole TE. Tougher matchup for him, but an even worse spot for Diggs and Davis. 4.6 aDOT should keep his production minimally affected by any potential weather.

Under 20 (1H)-105

BUF -6.5-122

0.82u

Available at FanDuel. Betting on the Bills just burned me last night, but the circumstances in that game were wild. There were a bunch of turnovers, and the Broncos ran super hot on late downs. Even after adding in data from that game, my model still makes the Bills 9.5-point favorites here. Even when looking at just 2023 data, the Bills rank third in my model's offensive power rankings after adjusting for schedule. Their defense is a legitimate, concerning problem, but the Jets rank dead last -- by a mile -- in that model's offensive power rankings. It's possible the Jets' (very good) defense can force Chaos Josh Allen into mistakes to keep the game close. But that's the only true path to a cover I see for them.

BUF -7-110

$100.00

Heavy model. 7.6% edge has this at -14

Featured Insight
Jets RBs have 55.0 receiving yards per game since Week 7 -- fifth-best in NFL. The Bills have averaged 59.5 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since Week 7 -- third-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
Bills TEs have 4 receiving touchdowns this season -- tied for 10th-most in NFL. The Jets have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to TEs this season -- tied for most in NFL.

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How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football
Billy Ward•
Nov 20, 2023 UTC
Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo
Anthony Dabbundo•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC
Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 11
Gilles Gallant•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC
NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks
Action Network Staff•
Nov 19, 2023 UTC

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2
Jets	6-11	3-5	3-5	5-6	1-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3
Jets	10-6-1	4-4	6-1-1	6-4-1	4-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2
Jets	5-12	N/A	N/A	5-6	0-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 14th	DEN	L 22-24	-7.5 L	U 47.5	DEN -390
Nov 6th	@CIN	L 18-24	+1.5 L	U 50.5	CIN +105
Oct 27th	TB	W 24-18	-10 L	U 43	BUF -500
Oct 22nd	@NE	L 25-29	-7.5 L	O 41.5	NE -395
Oct 16th	NYG	W 14-9	-15.5 L	U 43.5	BUF -1200

Zack Bailey
OL
Bailey is out with back
Out

Quinnen Williams
DE
Williams is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Alijah Vera-Tucker
G
Vera-Tucker is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Kene Nwangwu
RB
Nwangwu is out with hand
Out
Michael Carter
CB
Carter is questionable with back
Questionable
Sauce Gardner
CB
Gardner is out with hamstring
Out
Tony Adams
S
Adams is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Braiden McGregor
DE
McGregor is questionable with ankle
Questionable

Tre'Davious White
CB
White is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with heel
Out
Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Jets

Total

Bills

155

Total Yards

393

Total Plays

2.9

Yards Per Play

5.5

Jets

Passing

Bills

132

YDS

275

15/30

Comps/Atts

20/32

2.556

YPA

7.97

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/1

6/40

Sacks/Yards

1/12

Jets

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

130

Attempts

3.5

YPC

3.421

TDs

Jets

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Jets

Efficiency

Bills

1/1 100%

Redzone

1/4 25%

0/11 0%

3rd Down

5/13 0%

4/5 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Jets

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Jets

Misc

Bills

5/35

Penalties/Yards

8/77

23:09

Possession

36:51

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MatchupOverUnder
Jets 5-12	o14.5-115	u14.5-113
Bills 2-1	o23.5-115	u23.5-114

Jets vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 19, 2023

Jets at Bills

New York Jets

Buffalo Bills

Jets at Bills Odds

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Jets vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

How We're Live Betting Sunday Night Football

Jets vs. Bills: Ignore the Doomers & Back Buffalo

Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 11

NFL Best Bets: Our Staff's Favorite ATS & Total Picks

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Jets

Public

Bills

Bets%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Jets vs. Bills Injury Updates

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Bills Injuries

Jets vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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