Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 10, 2023

Bills at Chiefs

9:25 pm • CBS
20 - 17

Bills at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills
0-2
+1.5
+1.5-110
o49-110
+105
Chiefs
0-2
u48.5
-1.5-110
u49-110
-125
location pinSunday 9:25 p.m.
December 10, 2023
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bills vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
KC +4.5 (Live)-118
2u
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.0u)
BUF +2-110
0.91u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
R.Rice o51.5 Rec Yds-115
2u
C.Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1.29u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 11-19-2 (-17.3u)
BUF +1.5-105
1.9u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -1.5-107
1.07u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF +2-110
1u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
KC -2-107
1u
Convince Me
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -1-107
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 1-1-0 (-0.0u)
BUF +2-110
0.91u
Chiefs -120 ML at home should be free
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 9-15-1 (-2.5u)
C.Edwards-Helaire u46.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 25-41-1 (-15.6u)
J.Allen o33.5 Rush Yds-110
0.65u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 124-126-9 (-4.4u)
BUF +100
1u
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF +100
1.1u
Projection: Bills -109. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.0u)
KC -1-110
2.2u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 72-95-3 (-20.0u)
G.Davis o39.5 Rec Yds-124
1.24u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.McKinnon o49.5 Rec Yds+1075
0.5u
Jerick escalator
J.Allen o74.5 Rush Yds+1425
0.25u
Allen escalator
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -1-109
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
P.Mahomes o0.5 Int+105
0.53u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -2.5-110
1.1u
Simon Says
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-110
1.82u
Old faithful! Allen rushing yards in big games. Best bets pod, multi units.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 1-5-0 (-2.0u)
C.Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD Scorer+450
0.3u
Bet at Bet365 on 12/07. Down to -115 at FD and +110 at DK. Jerick McKinnon isnt likely to play. Worth a swing if Bet365 is slow to react.
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 18-42-0 (-11.8u)
BUF +118
1.18u
Available at FanDuel. Despite their respective records, both of my models view the Bills as a slightly better team on a neutral field than the Chiefs. Obviously, homefield matters, but I'm still showing value in the Bills' ML at +118. The implied odds there are 45.9%, and I've got the Bills at 49.8% to win. This is due to (primarily) three factors. First, the Bills' offense grades out as better than the Chiefs', based on numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. Second, the Chiefs' defense suffered some key injuries in Week 13 that could leave them thin this week. Third, the Bills are coming off of a bye, which does net them a boost in the model. Add it all up, and you get a game that looks more like a toss-up than the market implies. It's never fun to bet against Mahomes and Andy Reid, but I do agree with what the model is saying here.

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Bills vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

  • Bills vs. Chiefs Props: Bets for Allen, Mahomes & Rice article feature image

    Bills vs. Chiefs Props: Bets for Allen, Mahomes & Rice

    Michael Crosson
    Dec 10, 2023 UTC
  • Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 14 article feature image

    Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Preview for Week 14

    Gilles Gallant
    Dec 10, 2023 UTC
  • Our Sunday Best Bets for NFL Week 14 article feature image

    Our Sunday Best Bets for NFL Week 14

    Action Network Staff
    Dec 10, 2023 UTC
  • Bills vs. Chiefs: Play the Buffalo Moneyline article feature image

    Bills vs. Chiefs: Play the Buffalo Moneyline

    Anthony Dabbundo
    Dec 10, 2023 UTC
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Bills vs. Chiefs Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Bills vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bills

Public

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
7-9-13-54-4-16-7-11-2
Bills
10-75-35-48-52-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
7-104-43-66-81-2
Bills
11-66-25-410-31-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
15-2N/AN/A14-01-2
Bills
13-4N/AN/A11-22-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 4th@GBL 19-27-5.5 LO 43.5GB -245
Nov 26th@LVW 31-17-9.5 WO 42.5KC -485
Nov 21stPHIL 17-21-2.5 LU 46PHI -145
Nov 5thMIAW 21-14+0.5 WU 51.5KC -110
Oct 29th@DENL 9-24-7 LU 45.5DEN -340

Chiefs vs. Bills Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

    Bills Injuries

    • Grant DuBose
      WR

      DuBose is out with head

      Out

    Team Stats
    327
    Total Yards
    346
    73
    Total Plays
    62
    4.5
    Yards Per Play
    5.6
    233
    YDS
    271
    23/42
    Comps/Atts
    25/43
    4.644
    YPA
    6
    1/1
    TDs/INTs
    1/1
    3/24
    Sacks/Yards
    1/7
    118
    Rush Yards
    82
    28
    Attempts
    18
    4.214
    YPC
    4.556
    1
    TDs
    1

    Turnovers

    0
    Fumbles Lost
    1
    1
    Interceptions
    1

    Efficiency

    1/2 50%
    Redzone
    2/3 66.67%
    6/15 0%
    3rd Down
    6/12 0%
    1/1 0%
    4th Down
    0/1 0%

    First Downs

    21
    Total
    21
    12
    Pass
    14
    8
    Rush
    6
    1
    Penalty
    1
    4/35
    Penalties/Yards
    7/45
    35:21
    Possession
    24:39

    Bills vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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    Bills at Chiefs Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Bills
    0-2
    o24.5+100
    u24.5-122
    Chiefs
    0-2
    o24.5-125
    u24.5-110