5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Commanders vs. Eagles on MNF, Including Taylor Heinicke, Jalen Hurts
Greg Fiume/Getty Images. Pictured: Taylor Heinicke
The four most valuable props for Monday Night Football’s Commander vs. Eagles involve both quarterbacks: Taylor Heinicke and Jalen Hurts.
Our algorithms laboriously factor in matchups, weather, scheme and other mechanisms to best deduce which props across the marketplace provide positive expected value.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Falcons vs. Panthers
- Taylor Heinicke under 33.5 passing attempts +100 (BetMGM, DraftKings)
- Jalen Hurts under 30.5 passing attempts -110 (BetMGM)
- Jalen Hurts under 10.5 rushing attempts -115 (BetParx)
- John Bates under 8.5 receiving yards -115 (DraftKings)
- John Bates under 1.5 receptions -220 (DraftKings)
*Odds and data are as of Monday afternoon. These are the market’s most valuable prices.
The most valuable prop for Monday Night Football’s Commanders vs. Eagles is on Heinecke to throw the ball 33 times or fewer. Our predictive analytics team thinks this line should be closer to 31.5.
That gives the bet a roughly 14% betting edge. Essentially, you can expect to make $14 for every $100 wagered in the long run on these types of wagers.
Another way to think about it: You’re getting a 14% discount on the true price of that prop bet.
Philly’s quarterback is also getting value on his pass attempts under, according to our predictive models.
Hurts’ line should be closer to 28.5. The best price on the market of u30.5 (-110) gives roughly 13% of value.
Hurts’ under on rushing attempts at BetParx is also worthwhile, too. He’s projected to run just about nine times tonight.
Then, there are two props on Commanders tight end John Bates.
Bates is projected to pull in 0.9 passes and record just 4.8 receiving yards. Both lines on the under provide roughly 9% in value.