5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Ravens vs. Saints on Monday Night Football, Including Lamar Jackson
Patrick Smith/Getty Images. Pictured: Lamar Jackson.
The most valuable props for Monday Night Football’s Ravens vs. Saints involve Lamar Jackson and a few lower-rung skill position players.
These are according to our predictive models, which laboriously factor in matchups, weather, scheme and other mechanisms to best deduce which props across the marketplace provide positive expected value.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Ravens vs. Saints
- Lamar Jackson under 10.5 rush attempts -114 (FanDuel)
- Adam Trautman under 14.5 receiving yards -120 (DraftKings)
- Juwan Johnson under 25.5 receiving yards -110 (FanDuel)
- Adam Trautman under 1.5 receptions -115 (DraftKings)
- Chris Olave under 5.5 receptions -132 (FanDuel)
*Odds and data are as of Monday afternoon. These are the market’s most valuable prices.
The most valuable prop for Monday Night Football’s Ravens vs. Saints is on Lamar Jackson to rush for under 10.5 times at a vig of -114. Our predictive analytics team thinks this line should be closer to 9.3.
That gives the line a roughly 13.7% betting edge. Essentially, you can expect to make $13.70 for every $100 wagered in the long run on these types of wagers.
Another way to think about it: You’re getting a 13.7% discount on the true price of that prop bet.
Next up is Adam Trautman to receive for 14 yards or fewer. Our projection models indicate this line should be closer to 8.6 receiving yards.
This line has roughly 13.2% in value.
Trautman’s reception prop is also worth looking at. He’s projected at 1.2 receptions, giving this line about 8% of value, when incorporating the -115 vig.
The remaining two valuable prop bets involve Saints receivers — and the under on how they’ll play tonight.
Juwan Johnson’s receiving yard under provides about 13.5% in value based on a projection of 18.2 yards.
Meanwhile, Chris Olave’s receptions total has about 11% in value on a projection of 4.6 catches.