Bengals vs Chiefs Odds, Spread: Cincinnati Now Favored in AFC Championship Game
Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Burrow (left) and Patrick Mahomes.
- The Bengals became the betting favorites in the AFC Championship Game on Monday.
- The Chiefs were initially favored, but the line moved suddenly on Monday afternoon.
- Get updated odds, as of Monday, and a full game preview below.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds
One year later, and it's the same two teams left standing in the AFC.
We're looking at Bengals vs. Chiefs odds again, but this time around the two teams are much closer. Cincinnati won last season as a seven-point underdog, but the spread says these teams are closer in 2023.
Once lines settled on Sunday night, it was Chiefs -1. That didn't last very long.
As of 5:15 p.m. ET, it's Bengals -1 across the board, except at BetMGM, which has Bengals -1.5 posted.
Check out a preview of both teams and their betting stats below.
Bengals vs. Chiefs Matchup Analysis
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Bengals vs. Chiefs DVOA Breakdown
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You heard the man: As long as Joe Burrow is at the helm in Cincinnati, the Bengals’ championship window is open.
It’s tough to argue with him after a performance like Sunday’s in Buffalo, which gives us a rematch of last season’s AFC Championship Game in the same location as this year’s will be.
Cincinnati has won two straight against the Chiefs, including a Dec. 4 meeting this year at home. Kansas City led by seven entering the fourth quarter, but the Bengals scored 10 straight points to win as 2.5-point underdogs.
In the playoffs, Cincinnati suffered a scare in the AFC Wild Card Round against the Ravens. Tyler Huntley’s brutally timed fumble gave the Bengals seven points and the edge they needed to hold off Baltimore.
Then, in Buffalo, Burrow was on fire from the start. The Bengals scored on their first two drives, which saw the former No. 1 overall pick go 9-for-9.
Kansas City Chiefs
Death. Taxes. The Chiefs are in the AFC Championship Game.
Every year Mahomes has been the starter in Kansas City, Andy Reid’s team has been playing for a trip to the Super Bowl. The Chiefs have gone 2-2 so far, and they face another similarly tough test in 2023.
Without Tyreek Hill, it has been more of the same for the Chiefs. Kansas City had the No. 1 offense in the NFL, according to DVOA, during the regular season, and the unit looked solid with 27 points against the Jaguars.
The big concern throughout the week will be Mahomes’ ankle. He left the win over Jacksonville and got X-rays in the second quarter but ultimately returned for the second half. He was clearly compromised, though.
With all due respect to Chad Henne, who filled in fantastically and even led a touchdown drive toward the end of the first half, Kansas City will need Mahomes to have a chance at clinching another trip to the Super Bowl.
Cincinnati has been stellar against the spread this season, going 13-5 between the regular season and playoff games. The Bengals covered against the Bills, but they did not in the Wild Card Round against the Ravens.
What’s more impressive about the Bengals’ 13-5 ATS record: They started the season 0-2 straight-up (SU) and ATS.
The Bengals have covered nine straight games as underdogs, which is the longest active streak in the NFL according to Action Network’s Evan Abrams.
Since the start of last season, Burrow is 14-0 in a six-point teaser when listed as an underdog.
When the Bengals are underdogs of three or more points, Burrow is 14-2 ATS in the NFL and 5-1 in college.
The Chiefs, meanwhile, are one of the worst teams against the number this season. They’ll enter the AFC Championship Game at 6-12 ATS, which includes a betting defeat for Kansas City backers against Jacksonville on Saturday.