Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what're your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight's matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Tyreek Hill? He has a 8.9% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I'll touch on:
- Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, Damien Williams, Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Travis Kelce
- Chargers: Philip Rivers, Melvin Gordon, Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry
Now let's dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers
Damien Williams, RB, Chiefs
Melvin Gordon, RB, Chargers
Austin Ekeler, RB, Chargers
Tyreek Hill, WR, Chiefs
Sammy Watkins, WR, Chiefs
Keenan Allen, WR, Chargers
Mike Williams, WR, Chargers
Travis Kelce, TE, Chiefs
Hunter Henry, TE, Chargers
About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons
Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.
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