Chiefs vs. Raiders Spread Hit by Professional Action

Chiefs vs. Raiders Spread Hit by Professional Action article feature image
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Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.

  • Using the Action Network's betting tools, we break down what's behind the line movement for Sunday's Chiefs-Raiders game (4:05 p.m. ET, CBS).

Who needs Antonio Brown when you have Tyrell Williams and Darren Waller? After the betting market threw some shade on the Raiders for their Week 1 affair against Denver, Derek Carr and co. proved that they could function without AB.

Meanwhile, Patrick Mahomes showed that he can definitely still function and that 2018 was no fluke. The Chiefs scored 40 against a Jaguars team that has big defensive aspirations this year, but they may have trouble putting up lopsided numbers without Tyreek Hill for the next handful of weeks.

Here’s how sharp bettors are getting down on this AFC West showdown.

Odds above as of Wednesday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet all Week 2 NFL spreads at reduced juice (-105).

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders Sharp Report

After opening between -7.5 and -8 on the road, the Chiefs have gotten the fade treatment from pros. With 73% of bets, the public sure loves them, but sharp bettors just couldn’t resist betting on Oakland plus the hook.

We’ve tracked four bet signals on the Raiders since the line opened, with two coming on Wednesday on Oakland +7.5. Our dollar percentages also reveal that the Raiders are getting 69% of the money despite their low ticket count — another indication of professional betting activity.

These factors have forced many books to move the line to the key number of 7, while those remaining at 7.5 have put heavy juice on Oakland.

Historically, betting against heavily-bet teams in Week 2 has been a wise endeavor. In fact, Weeks 2 and 3 are the best time of the NFL season for fading teams with at least 70% of bets. This system has performed even better when looking at divisional games and home teams, so the Raiders are checking off a lot of boxes.

Considering the Chiefs have gotten more than 70% of the bets at -7.5 and -8, I expect tickets to keep flowing in on them now that the line is down to -7.