EDGE

Best Cowboys-Texans SNF Prop Bets: Target Ezekiel Elliott

Oct 07, 2018 5:55 PM EDT
  • There are four props offering betting value in Sunday's primetime game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Houston Texans.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has potential to make big plays in the Cowboy's passing game against the Texans' defense.

Though I have yet to do the research to back it up, I suspect that player prop betting lines are slightly skewed when it comes to public favorites like the Packers and Cowboys.

After all, it’s been known to happen with point spreads and money lines, so why not with player props? Thankfully, the projections used in the Player Props Tool suffer from no such bias.

The tool has an 82-46 (63 percent) record on bets rated at 10.

Meanwhile, our picks at Bet the Prop are hitting 102-69 (68 percent).

That public bias is something to keep an eye on with the Cowboys starring on Sunday Night Football.

Here are our best bets in their match up against the 1-3 Texans.

Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott

The Pick: Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-125 @ 5 Dimes)

This is one of the best plays on the board according to the Prop Tool, with a max bet value of 10.

Elliott has been inconsistent in this area, but broke out with 88 receiving yards last week against the Lions. The Texans aren’t quite as poor as Detroit when it comes to getting air raided by opposing running backs, but they have yielded 42.5 receiving yards per game.

Elliott should be heavily involved, and this line looks like a great value.

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Credit:

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ezekiel Elliott

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
ATL
NYG
-4.5
54
-4
54
WAS
DAL
-1
42
+1
41.5
CHI
NE
+2.5
50
+3
48.5
TB
CLE
-3
49.5
-3.5
51.5
JAC
HOU
-3.5
44
-4
41
NYJ
MIN
+3
47
+3.5
46
SF
LA
+10.5
53
+9.5
52
IND
BUF
-7
42.5
-7
43
LAC
TEN
-7
45.5
-6.5
45
ARI
DEN
+1
41
+1
42
MIA
DET
+2.5
47
+3
46.5
KC
CIN
-6
58.5
-6
58.5
PHI
CAR
-4.5
45
-5
44.5
BAL
NO
-2.5
51
-3
49.5