Cowboys vs Giants Player Props: Expert Targets Richie James Receiving Yards on Monday Night Football

Cowboys vs Giants Player Props: Expert Targets Richie James Receiving Yards on Monday Night Football article feature image
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Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Richie James.

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Richie James Receiving Yards

PropUnder 35.5 Receiving Yards
MatchupCowboys vs. Giants
Day, TimeMonday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Best BookBetRivers

James has easily cleared this number in each of the Giants' first two games. New York's WR situation has been extremely volatile, a situation James has benefited from.

James has run a route on 65% of Daniel Jones' dropbacks this season. I have him projected to run about that same number tonight, but we could see Kennedy Golladay or maybe even Darius Slayton eat into his playing time tonight. James has operated as the WR2/3, but the thing about unpredictable situations is that they can change.

The craziest stat is that James has caught 91% of his targeted this season. Considering his average depth of target (aDot) has been about 9.5 yards downfield, I'dd expect that to be closer to 66.5%.

We also have to take into account that Jones is his quarterback, not Patrick Mahomes or Tom Brady. Even if James continues to play at a high level, it's unlikely he'll continue to get so many accurate passes from Jones moving forward.

I'm not expecting too many passing yards in this matchup anyway. Jones hasn't thrown for more than 190 yards in either of the Giants' first two games, although he has been scrambling more this season. Last season, Jones only scrambled on 6% of his dropbacks, but that's up to 12.5% this season. He's been told that if his first couple reads aren't there to pull it down and run.

I'm projecting James for closer to 29.5 receiving yards tonight. Get this number at 35.5 at BetRivers while you can, because it's dropping quickly across the board.

I'd bet this down to 33.5.

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