Dolphins vs Jets Player Props: Raheem Mostert, Jeff Wilson, Tim Boyle
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Tim Boyle.
Dolphins vs Jets Player Props
Check out my top Dolphins vs Jets player props for the first-ever NFL Black Friday game. Click on any pick to navigate to a specific Dolphins-Jets prop bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
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Dolphins vs. Jets Props
Raheem Mostert is questionable at time of writing, but I’m expecting to see him suit up. Assuming he plays then -110 on a touchdown feels like value. This Jets defense simply cannot stop the run. They’ve shown that across the past 10 games as they averaged 137.6 rushing yards against per game, third-highest in the NFL.
Mostert have averaged 5.3 yards per carry, the second-highest in the NFL. If he’s on the field, it’s hard to see him not find the end zone.
Pick: Raheem Mostert Anytime TD (-110)
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I’m also sprinkling Jeff Wilson to score. The Dolphins have activated Darrynton Evans to the active roster due to having some doubts around De’Von Achane’s knee. If Achane isn’t good to go then it means Wilson’s workload will be increased.
He was a healthy scratch last Sunday and he’ll be hungry to prove his coaches wrong after a week in the doghouse. With doubts over both Mostert and Achane’s fitness, +450 is a huge price to score.
Pick: Jeff Wilson Anytime TD (+450)
I can’t believe I’m doing this, but I’m hitting the over on Tim Boyle passing yards. There’s a big discrepancy between books with lines from 150.5 all the way to 169.5. I’m happy to invest at 150.5 passing yards here.
This is less a seal of approval for Boyle and more an indictment of the Dolphins defense that has allowed an average of 220.6 passing yards across the season. That’s more than 70 points difference from Boyle’s line, meaning that I don’t need him to be great, I don’t even need him to be good — I just need to him to be capable.
Pick: Tim Boyle Over 150.5 Passing Yards (-110)
I’m going to have to hold my nose here as I make another Tim Boyle pick. This time I’m backing Boyle to have Over 29.5 passing attempts. Yet again I feel compelled to say that this isn’t a vote of confidence in Boyle. This is because of game script.
Zach Wilson has eight games that he both started and finished. He had 30 or more passing attempts in six of them, including the last four games before last week’s benching at the Bills. The Jets are going to need to rely on Boyle’s arm, even if they don’t believe in it.
Pick: Tim Boyle Over 29.5 Passing Attempts (-125)
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