Anytime Touchdown Prop Picks: Bet Hunter Henry, Jaylen Waddle in Dolphins vs Patriots
Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images. Pictured: Jaylen Waddle.
Waddle has three touchdowns in four career games against the Patriots. And while Tyreek Hill is the main attraction of the Dolphins offense, it’s worth noting that Waddle plays an identical amount of snaps.
Also, the Patriots defense will sell out to stop the deep ball and limit Hill’s big plays.
Waddle had +175 odds to score last year in New England with Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson at quarterback.
Having Tua Tagovailoa healthy is massive considering all 14 of Waddle’s TDs were thrown by the lefty.
Henry scored in Week 1 against the Eagles, and probably should’ve had two touchdowns.
Over the last two seasons, Henry has led the Pats in red-zone targets. If Mac Jones is throwing in the end zone, the ball is likely going to Henry.
The Dolphins allowed the fourth-most touchdowns and the third-most catches to tight ends in 2022. In Week 1 against the Chargers, they allowed a score to Donald Parham.
My long-shot touchdown play is on the Pats defense/special teams, and why not? It’s a fearsome defensive unit that makes plays on a weekly basis.
The Eagles put up 25 points on New England in Week 1, but remember, it wasn’t all on the defense as Mac Jones threw a pick-6 to Darius Slay early in the game. The Pats also forced a fumble on Jalen Hurts.
While the Dolphins are exciting on offense, they like to take chances, which means more chances for mistakes.
Special teams could come through for us, too. Marcus Jones is explosive in the return game and is a threat to score.
Note: I'm only betting one-half unit on this one.
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