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Isaiah Likely Player Props: Rookie TE Faces Tough Matchup in Ravens vs Saints

Isaiah Likely Player Props: Rookie TE Faces Tough Matchup in Ravens vs Saints article feature image

Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Isaiah Likely.

Fantasy managers who have been stashing Isaiah Likely all season must be thinking, “This is it. The breakout is coming.”

Well, hold on one second.

There’s a lot going in favor of Likely having a big game on Monday Night Football. Many people’s favorite Ravens vs. Saints player prop might be the rookie’s receiving yards total.

Here’s what Likely has going for him: TE Mark Andrews, WR Rashod Bateman and RB J.K. Dobbins are all out tonight. Heck, backup RB Gus Edwards is doubtful, too. There is a clear opportunity for Likely to be the go-to guy.

Also, when Andrews got hurt last week against the Buccaneers, Likely shined. He had six catches on seven targets for 77 yards and a touchdown, playing 67% of offensive snaps.

Here’s what Likely does not have going for him: The Saints defense is the best in the NFL against tight ends.

FanDuel Quickslip: Isaiah Likely Under 43.5 Receiving Yards

New Orleans ranks No. 1 in Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric against tight ends, allowing a meager 27.1 receiving yards per game to the position.

Here’s what the Saints have held opposing tight ends to this season:

  • Week 1, Kyle Pitts: 2 catches, 19 receiving yards
  • Week 2, Cameron Brate: 1 catch, 9 receiving yards
  • Week 3, Ian Thomas: 2 catches, 13 receiving yards
  • Week 4, Irv Smith Jr.: 3 catches, 23 receiving yards
  • Week 5, Noah Fant: 3 catches, 49 receiving yards
  • Week 6, Hayden Hurst: 3 catches, 21 receiving yards
  • Week 7, Zach Ertz: 2 catches, 21 receiving yards
  • Week 8, Foster Moreau: 6 catches, 31 receiving yards

It’s a staggering run of results against the position that cannot be ignored.

While Likely is undoubtedly talented and in a position to succeed, Action Labs projects him for just 37.7 receiving yards, giving value to betting the under on his 43.5 total at FanDuel.

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