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Jaguars vs Chiefs Odds, Preview: K.C. Favored in AFC Divisional Round

Jaguars vs Chiefs Odds, Preview: K.C. Favored in AFC Divisional Round article feature image
Credit:

Getty Images. Pictured: Trevor Lawrence (left) and Patrick Mahomes.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Odds

Date: Saturday, Jan. 21
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC
Jaguars Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+8.5
-105
50.5
-110o / -110u
+350
Chiefs Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-8.5
-115
50.5
-110o / -110u
-450
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
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Jaguars vs. Chiefs Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Jaguars and Chiefs match up statistically:

Jaguars vs. Buccaneers DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 9 17
Pass DVOA 6 20
Rush DVOA 20 15
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 1 26
Pass DVOA 1 30
Rush DVOA 9 11
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Don’t look now, but here come the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Jacksonville has won six straight games, including last week’s miraculous comeback win over the Chargers. Trevor Lawrence threw four first-half interceptions and still won, thanks to three second-half touchdowns.

Yes, the Jaguars played in the worst division in football. They’re still a solid team.


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Jacksonville ranks 13th in both Overall DVOA and Weighted DVOA, the latter of which weighs recent games more heavily. The Jags are ninth on offense and 26th on defense.

The problem for the Jaguars defense is where they especially struggle: against the pass. That’s likely going to be a problem against Patrick Mahomes.

Speaking of Mahomes, who needs Tyreek Hill? The Chiefs finished fourth in Overall DVOA, first on offense but 17th on defense.

And, as usual, Kansas City got the No. 1 seed in the AFC — although the canceled BillsBengals game could have easily changed that.

The story for the Chiefs is Patrick Mahomes, who’s the favorite to win the second MVP of his career. Mahomes threw for a career-high 5,250 yards and an NFL-leading 41 touchdowns. He improved on pretty much every statistic this season.

With Mahomes, anything is possible — like another trip to the Super Bowl.

Betting Stats

The Chiefs weren’t friendly to bettors this season, going 6-11 against the spread (ATS). Kansas City was 2-6 ATS at home this season.

The Jaguars are red hot against the number, as they have been straight-up. Jacksonville has covered in five of its six straight wins, with the one exception being as a six-point favorite in Week 18 against the Titans.

In October, Jacksonville went 0-5 ATS. Since then, the Jags are 7-3.

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