NFL Kicker Picks for Week 5: Player Props for Mason Crosby, Tyler Bass, Robbie Gould
Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images. Pictured: Robbie Gould.
Under 7.5 Kicking Points (-109, BetRivers)
Green Bay's slow pace under Matt LaFleur means Crosby has only attempted 1.47 field goals per game since 2019. This season, the Packers are averaging just one field goal attempt.
We're getting 12 mph winds projected in London on Sunday morning, which will make field goals from distance potentially more difficult.
I project Crosby for 1.53 field goals made and 2.47 extra points, with the under hitting 58.8% of the time. I'd bet this to -125.
The Steelers have held opposing kickers to under 6.5 kicking points every game this season, let alone 7.5.
We're getting 17 mph winds forecasted for Steelers vs. Bills, which would be the second-strongest for any game of the season so far.
The Bills rank eighth in the NFL in how many times they're gone for it on fourth down, which may be something we see more this week because of the wind.
We have a 61.2% chance of going under 8.5 kicking points. We may have to lay more juice to get that number, though, since the percentage of the bet hitting is greater. The expected return on investment on Under 7.5 is 9.2%, while it's 5.2% for Under 8.5.
Under 7.5 Kicking Points (-123, Caesars)
Since 2019, Gould has only made 79.8% of his field goal attempts, which is about 5% below league average.
San Francisco is traveling across the country on a short week as the luckiest team in the NFL last week, according to our Luck Rankings. That could have overinflated Gould's odds here.
The under should hit 58.8% of the time in this situation, according to our projections, although I wouldn't bet it past -125.