NFL Odds & Picks: Packers, Ravens, More Week 17 Bets We Made Right Away
Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Lamar Jackson
Our NFL betting analysts break down the bets they’ve already made for Week 17. Find their picks below.
NFL Odds & Picks
Ravens at Bengals
Chris Raybon: Since hitting a COVID-induced midseason speed bump, the Ravens are white-hot and the market hasn’t adjusted.
Over their last five games, the Ravens are 5-0 against the spread (ATS), covering by an average of 6.6 points per game.
The Bengals have played above their heads as of late, knocking off the Steelers in the midst of Pittsburgh’s offensive funk and then winning a shootout against the Texans and their barely-there defense.
Packers at Bears
Matthew Freedman: I’m a pretty simple person: I like to bet on quarterbacks who win, and Rodgers wins.
For his career, he’s 118-84-5 ATS, good for an A-graded 13.9% return on investment (ROI). And he has been especially dominant against the NFC North, going 45-27 ATS (22.4% ROI) within the division.
As for the Bears, I’m not worried about them. Head coach Matt Nagy was 12-5 ATS in his first year with the team, but his opponents are 19-11-1 ATS (22.9% ROI) since the start of last season.
I bet the Packers at -4 but like them up to -6 (-110).
Seahawks at 49ers
Chris Raybon: The Seahawks are another team that the market has been slow to adjust to. Since averaging a combined score of 65.7 in September en route to a 3-0 over record, the Seahawks are 9-3 toward the under, with their games falling short of the total by 3.5 points on average.
The dip in scoring has been even more pronounced since Week 10, when the Seahawks started reigning in #LetRussCook. In Weeks 1-9, Seattle passed on first and second down 59.1% of the time. Since Week 10, that figure has dropped to 52.5%.
This also coincides with the acquisition of defensive end Carlos Dunlap and the return to health of safety Jamaal Adams, which has provided a major boost to the Seahawks’ pass rush. Since Week 10, the average final score in their games is Seahawks 22.7-15.0 for a combined total of 37.7 points.
San Francisco has George Kittle back, but he will likely continue to play on a pitch count (he played 60% of the snaps last week), and the 49ers lost another weapon in wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (ankle) while Deebo Samuel (hamstring) remains out.
Left tackle Trent Williams, who grades out as the No. 1 tackle in the league according to Pro Football Focus, will also miss this game with an elbow injury, which leaves third-string quarterback CJ Beathard extremely short-handed at key spots.
I bet the under at 46.5 but like it down to 43.5 points.