We have you covered with NFL player prop picks for both Saturday playoff games in the Divisional Round of the postseason.
Our staff has locked in prop bets for both of Saturday's matchups, including picks for Bills vs. Broncos at 4:30 p.m. ET and 49ers vs. Seahawks at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Let's dig into our NFL player props and best bets for Saturday of the Divisional Round on January 17.
NFL Player Props for Divisional Round Saturday
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 4:30 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Bills vs. Broncos
Dawson Knox Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
By Brit Devine
Passing to TEs is one of the only ways to move the ball in the passing game against the Broncos, and with teammate Dalton Kincaid likely to end up on the injury report this week after being seen in a walking boot after the Bills' last game, Knox should be involved rather heavily in the game plan.
The Broncos allowed the 6th-most targets and 9th-most receiving yards to TEs this season. Against RBs, they allowed the 3rd-fewest targets and 2nd-fewest receiving yards. Against WRs, they allowed the 2nd-fewest yards per target.
Any reasonable game plan against the Broncos should include plenty of looks to the TE, and we should see these odds start falling mid-week once Kincaid hits the injury report, which seems all but certain at this point.
To be clear, the reports suggest that Kincaid's injury isn't too serious, but for a player who has been on the injury report nearly all season, he is likely to be operating at less than 100% come game time, which should elevate Knox's role in the offense.
Pick: Dawson Knox Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Bills vs. Broncos
Troy Franklin Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projections have all three of the main Broncos WRs well over their receiving props.
It will be next to impossible for all three of Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin, and Pat Bryant to come in under each of their respective numbers, even in a low-output passing performance for the Broncos.
However, given the matchup, it would also be incredibly easy for all three to go over, even in a mediocre passing game for the Broncos.
So, pick your poison. I'm taking all three guys to go over their receiving yards prop and banking on at least two of them to go over.
Pick: Troy Franklin Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
49ers vs. Seahawks
Zach Charbonnet Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
By Brit Devine
Over the past four weeks, Charbonnet has 52 carries to Kenneth Walker's 51, and it looks to be about as close to a 50/50 split as possible heading into the playoffs.
Walker's line is sitting in the mid-to-high 50s, which is pretty close to where I project this line.
Both backs had big games to close out the regular season against this same 49ers defense in a must-win game for both teams.
The 49ers defense has been destroyed by injuries this season and has allowed 430 rushing yards over their past three games, including 180 yards on the ground to Seattle in the final game of the regular season.
I'm expecting a repeat of the previous matchup between these teams for the Seattle RB duo, which has this line looking far too low.
Pick: Zach Charbonnet Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
49ers vs. Seahawks
Christian McCaffrey Longest Rush Under 11.5 Yards (+104)
By Brit Devine
Of any player in the league with at least 132 rushing attempts this season, McCaffrey ranks dead last in PFF rushing grade.
Here is a list of his longest rushes against what I would consider to be good run defenses.
- Wild Card Round vs. Eagles – 10 yards
- Week 18 vs. Seattle – 5 yards
- Week 15 vs. Titans – 9 yards
- Week 14 vs. Browns – 7 yards
- Week 11 vs. Rams – 5 yards
- Week 9 vs. Texans – 9 yards
- Week 5 vs. Rams – 8 yards
- Week 4 vs. Jaguars – 11 yards
- Week 1 vs. Seattle – 13 yards
At this point of the year, McCaffrey doesn't seem to have enough juice to create long runs on his own anymore, especially against good defenses.
This season, the Seahawks allowed the lowest yards per carry in the league, allowed the lowest explosive run rate, allowed the 2nd-fewest yards on explosive runs, and had the 5th-fewest missed tackles forced by opponents on run plays.
The Seahawks arguably have the best run defense in the league, and with a big spread at home, plus the rest advantage, they could force the 49ers to all but abandon the run like they did in Week 18.
