NFL Week 14 PrizePicks Predictions: Picks for Davis Mills, Kendall Hinton

NFL Week 14 PrizePicks Predictions: Picks for Davis Mills, Kendall Hinton article feature image

Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images. Pictured: Davis Mills.

If you want to add an extra edge to your card this Sunday, check out PrizePicks. The app allows you to parlay NFL player props for real money in 30 states, including some states where online betting access remains unavailable.

Here are the PrizePicks props I’d consider playing this weekend.

Kendall Hinton
38.5 Receiving Yards

Even if Courtland Sutton is out, I don’t think Kendall Hinton will see too much run on Sunday.

Hinton has only seen more than three targets in a game twice this season. Sutton left the game early last week, Jerry Jeudy wasn’t 100% healthy — and Hinton received a whopping one target.

Overall, Hinton has hit over 38.5 receiving yards in only three of nine games this season. And is it even worth backing anyone on the Bronco offense right now? The Russell Wilson experiment is an absolute disaster.

This is a slightly troublesome game script, as the Chiefs are a high-powered offense that could put Denver in a deficit early, resulting in plenty of passing opportunities. However, Bronco games have been a volume-sucker this season, as the elite defense always keeps the horrendous offense in the game.

Overall, this line is too high. The Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Hinton for only 31.9 receiving yards on Sunday, providing us with plenty of value on this PrizePicks prop.

Pick: Under 38.5 receiving yards

Davis Mills
182.5 Passing Yards

Davis Mills is in for a rough Sunday on the gridiron.

Both Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins are injured. It’s suspected that neither will play, but they won’t be at 100% even if they do. That leaves a suspect wide receiver room in Houston for a monster matchup with Dallas.

The Cowboy defense has shut down the best offenses in the league, and they held Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson to just three total points. Overall, the Cowboys are first in EPA per pass allowed, fourth in Pass Success Rate allowed and first in Pass Defense DVOA.

Plus, the Cowboys are first in pressure rate against a suspect Houston offensive line.

This is such a ridiculous mismatch, I’m not sure if the line could be low enough.

And it’s not like we need a reason to fade Mills. He’s stayed under 182.5 passing yards in four of his last six starts. Meanwhile, the Cowboys have held eight of 12 opposing quarterbacks under their passing yards total.

Mills is an easy PrizePicks fade on Sunday.

Pick: Under 182.5 receiving yards

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