Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Ravens or Rams Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup?

Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will Ravens or Rams Players Win Your Fantasy Football Matchup? article feature image
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Marquise Brown

  • Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Ravens and Rams players scoring enough points to win your Week 12 fantasy football matchups.

Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy football matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.

So what’re your chances of a Monday night miracle win?

I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 18 points from Marquise Brown? He has a 8.7% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll touch on:

  • Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Mark Ingram, Gus Edwards, Marquise Brown, Mark Andrews
  • Rams: Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Gerald Everett

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Lamar Jackson, QB, Ravens

Jared Goff, QB, Rams

Mark Ingram, RB, Ravens

Gus Edwards, RB, Ravens

Todd Gurley, RB, Rams

Marquise Brown, WR, Ravens

Cooper Kupp, WR, Rams

Brandin Cooks, WR, Rams

Robert Woods, WR, Rams

Mark Andrews, TE, Ravens

Gerald Everett, TE, Rams