Week 3 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up and Against the Spread

Week 3 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up and Against the Spread article feature image
Credit:

Ken Murray/Icon Sportswire. Pictured: Colts mascot

  • Playing in a pick 'em pool (or a few) and looking for the best straight up and against the spread picks for Week 3?
  • Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, ranks the best picks for both types of pools below.
  • If your pool uses different odds, don't worry -- you can create custom rankings with his spreadsheet calculator.

Straight up. Against the spread.

Whether you’re playing in your office’s (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I’ve created pick ’em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator.

These pick ’em ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds.

In theory, those odds should be fairly close to my ratings, but if we can identify any differences between the two, we can exploit them.

Now let’s run through Week 3 pick ’em confidence ratings for straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) contests.


Jump to ATS Ratings


Week 3 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

These are for straight-up pick ’em pools.

Rank
Team
Opponent
Win Prob%
1
Colts
vs. NYJ
82%
2
Browns
vs. WAS
75%
3
Chargers
vs. CAR
71%
4
Eagles
vs. CIN
69%
5
Cardinals
vs. DET
69%
6
Patriots
vs. LV
68%
7
Buccaneers
@ DEN
67%
8
Seahawks
vs. DAL
65%
9
Steelers
vs. HOU
65%
10
Ravens
vs. KC
63%
11
Saints
vs. GB
60%
12
Jaguars
vs. MIA
58%
13
Bills
vs. LAR
56%
13
Falcons
vs. CHI
56%
15
Titans
@ MIN
55%
16
49ers
@ NYG
54%
17
Giants
vs. SF
46%
18
Vikings
vs. TEN
45%
19
Rams
@ BUF
44%
19
Bears
@ ATL
44%
21
Dolphins
@ JAX
42%
22
Packers
@ NO
40%
23
Chiefs
@ BAL
37%
24
Texans
@ PIT
35%
25
Cowboys
@ SEA
35%
26
Broncos
vs. TB
33%
27
Raiders
@ NE
32%
28
Lions
@ ARI
31%
29
Bengals
@ PHI
31%
30
Panthers
@ LAC
29%
31
Washington
@ CLE
25%
32
Jets
@ IND
18%

Week 3 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.

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