Best Chargers-Ravens Wild Card Props: Lamar Jackson Completions, More

Best Chargers-Ravens Wild Card Props: Lamar Jackson Completions, More article feature image
  • There are two player props offering betting value in the early game on Sunday's Wild Card slate.
  • This piece will focus on Raven QB Lamar Jackson and Chargers WR Mike Williams.

There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Chargers-Ravens matchup on Sunday afternoon, which kicks off at 1:05 p.m. ET on CBS.

The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props.

So will the player props tool at FantasyLabs, which takes each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverages them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

*All odds as of 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson

The pick: Under 16.5 completions (-130)

The under on Jackson’s completion props have been hitting at a rapid rate.

Since he took over the starting job in Week 11, Jackson is averaging just 22.57 pass attempts and 13.14 completions per game, per Sports Info Solutions. Overall, he has yet to complete more than 14 passes in any of his seven starts.

Given the Ravens are 3-point home favorites, it’s reasonable to expect the Ravens to maintain their run-heavy attack unless the Chargers are able to jump out to a huge lead. That seems unlikely given the caliber of the Ravens’ defense, which is holding opposing offenses to a scoring rate of 29.1%, trailing only the Bears.

In the FantasyLabs prop tool, Jackson is presently projected for 14.4 completions.

Chargers WR Mike Williams

The pick: Under 3.0 receptions (+110)

Williams owns just 13% of the Chargers’ target share this season, and with Keenan Allen active (he missed one game in which Williams saw nine targets), he is averaging just 3.8 targets and 2.4 receptions per game.

There’s a chance this bet could push since we have him projected for 2.8 receptions, but it’s worth a shot at plus-money odds while the Ravens are allowing a league-low 55% completion rate to the wide receiver position this season, per Sports Info Solutions. The last time Williams faced the Ravens a few weeks ago, they held him to a 1-7-0 line on three targets.