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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 9, 2025

Lightning at Maple Leafs

12:30 am • NHL Network

Tampa Bay Lightning

13-4-2
0
0 - 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

8-11-2
2

Lightning at Maple Leafs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Lightning
13-4-2
+1.5
-1.5+190
o6.5-110
-130
Maple Leafs
8-11-2
u5.5
+1.5-230
u6.5-110
+110
location pinTuesday 12:30 a.m.
December 09, 2025
Scotiabank ArenaToronto
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Expert Picks
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB -115
1u
Join Discord: https://discord.gg/NcyhmJVXPe
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 90-83-2 (-0.7u)
TB -125
1.25u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 54-43-1 (+0.3u)
M.Rielly o0.5 Pts+120
0.25u
Tailing the ScoresAndOdds team
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 101-107-0 (-18.4u)
TOR +110
1.1u
Over 6.5-112
1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 278-267-2 (-15.5u)
TOR +110
1.65u
New Owner
New Owner
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB +100
1u

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Lightning

Public

Home Logo

Maple Leafs

58%

Bets%

42%

Money%

NHL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Maple Leafs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Maple Leafs are 6-2 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Maple Leafs' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Maple Leafs' 13 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Maple Leafs		9-123-106-22-87-4
Lightning		11-86-25-68-72-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Maple Leafs		12-95-87-14-68-3
Lightning		11-82-69-28-72-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Maple Leafs		8-11N/AN/A4-64-7
Lightning		13-4N/AN/A11-41-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 7thMTLL 1-2-1.5 LU 6.5MTL -140
Dec 5th@CARW 5-1+1.5 WU 6.5TOR +170
Dec 3rd@FLAW 5-1+1.5 WU 6.5TOR +142
Nov 30th@PITW 7-2-1.5 WO 6.5TOR -109
Nov 28th@WSHL 2-4+1.5 LU 6.5WSH +142

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Injury Updates

Maple Leafs Injuries

  • Max Domi
    C

    Domi is out with back

    Out

  • Morgan Rielly
    D

    Rielly is day-to-day with lower body

    Day-to-Day

  • Colton Sissons
    C

    Sissons is out with lower body

    Out

  • Miles Wood
    LW

    Wood is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Kirill Marchenko
    RW

    Marchenko is out with lower body

    Out

  • Elvis Merzlikins
    G

    Merzlikins is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Nick Blankenburg
    D

    Blankenburg is out with upper body

    Out

  • Marshall Rifai
    D

    Rifai is out with lower body

    Out

Lightning Injuries

  • Erik Cernak
    D

    Cernak is day-to-day with upper body

    Day-to-Day

  • Brayden Point
    C

    Point is out with undisclosed

    Out

  • Anthony Cirelli
    C

    Cirelli is day-to-day with lower body

    Day-to-Day

See more NHL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

0
Goals
2
0
Assists
2
5
Penalties
3
29
Shots
24
16
Hits
20
25
Faceoffs Won
30

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Odds Comparison

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Lightning at Maple Leafs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Lightning
13-4-2
N/A
N/A
Maple Leafs
8-11-2
N/A
N/A