Canadiens vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2026
Canadiens at Lightning
11:00 pm • ESPN2Canadiens at Lightning Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Canadiens 3-2 | +1.5 | +1.5-190 | o5.5-122 | +135 |
Lightning 2-3 | u5.5 | -1.5+160 | u5.5+101 | -158 |

Benchmark International ArenaTampa
Canadiens vs. Lightning Expert Picks
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 154-110-3 (+37.1u)
Under 6.5 (Live)+220
1.65u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 199-177-12 (+10.9u)
MTL +135 (Live)
1.35u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 293-292-11 (+30.4u)
I.Demidov u1.5 SOG+115
0.45u
#EV 4.13%
Pinny -107
BO -110
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 26-32-0 (-6.5u)
I.Demidov u1.5 SOG+120
0.21u
B.Hagel u3.5 SOG-160
0.8u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 293-292-11 (+30.4u)
Under 1.5 (1P)-106
0.77u
#EV 3.1%
Pinny -118
Circa -125
BM -121
BO -126
Dana Forden
Last 30d: 29-30-0 (+6.1u)
I.Demidov u1.5 SOG+130
$1.00
I am going to keep going back to this one. Between playoffs and regular season he has been under this line in 47/86 games, and an away game vs Tampa Bay is a very tough matchup. Historically in the first 4 games of the opening round of the playoffs powerplays actually become more prevalent, which should have helped Demidov, but later in the series some of those powerplays start going away. In game 5 of the opening round historically it has had the same amount of powerplays as a regular season game.
B.Hagel u3.5 SOG-154
$1.00
Hagel had a career year when it comes to shots/game this season and was still under 3.5 shots in 47/75(62.7%) of games. And both his attempted shots and actual shots are down quite a bit so far in this series. Despite 4 tight games Tampa Bay has not leaned on their top dogs as much as you'd expect. Hagel played 30.1% of even strength minutes in the regular season and 30.7% in this series, and that includes 3 overtime games.
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-335-9 (-8.8u)
MTL o2.5-115
$1.00
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 97-88-7 (+6.4u)
MTL +142
1.42u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 268-335-9 (-8.8u)
MTL +142
$1.42
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 105-99-3 (+6.4u)
MTL +150
1.5u
Canadiens vs. Lightning Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Canadiens vs. Lightning Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Lightning are 0-5 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Lightning are 0-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Lightning' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Lightning' 3 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Canadiens vs. Lightning Injury Updates

Canadiens Injuries
- Brendan GallagherRW
Gallagher is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
- Patrik LaineRW
Laine is out with abdomen
Out
- Noah DobsonD
Dobson is out with thumb
Out

Lightning Injuries
- Nick PaulLW
Paul is day-to-day with illness
Day-to-Day
- Victor HedmanD
Hedman is out with personal
Out
- Pontus HolmbergF
Holmberg is out with upper body
Out
- Charle-Edouard D'AstousD
D'Astous is day-to-day with undisclosed
Day-to-Day
Team Stats
Canadiens vs. Lightning Odds Comparison
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Canadiens at Lightning Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Canadiens 3-2 | N/A | N/A |
Lightning 2-3 | N/A | N/A |

