Leicester City vs Manchester United EPL Betting Odds, Picks: Updated Premier League Preview, Prediction, Expert Tips

Leicester vs. Man United Odds

Manchester United, looking for its third win on the bounce, heads to the Midlands on Thursday to face Leicester City, which is winless in this young Premier League season.

The Red Devils secured a 1-0 victory over the weekend against Southampton to move all the way up to 11th in the table. As for the Foxes, they couldn't take advantage of a Chelsea red card and dropped all three points at Stamford Bridge.

Last season, the hosts earned results in both meetings with the Red Devils, including a 4-2 victory at King Power Stadium.

Leicester City

Through its opening four fixtures, there is little positive to write about Leicester City.

Despite scoring six times in those games, manager Brendan Rodgers' side has created only 3.2 expected goals, 1.7 of which came in its most recent match while playing up a man. Even in terms of big scoring chances, Leicester has only created five, which is a mark better than only four other EPL sides.

On the defensive end, the Foxes lead the league in big scoring chances against and allowed a 10-man Chelsea to generate three big chances, per fotmob.com.

If there's a case for optimism, it's that some of Leicester's underlying metrics aren't as bad. The club ranks fifth in penalty area touches against, 10th in shot-creating actions against and 11th in shots on target per 90 minutes, all per fbref.com.

By The Numbers

• 5 — Total big scoring chances for Leicester in matches against United last season.
• 4 — Consecutive EPL fixtures in which the Foxes have earned points against the Red Devils.

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Manchester United

By winning against Southampton, manager Erik ten Hag's squad put an end to a miserable streak.

The result marked United's first road victory across its previous eight road fixtures and only its seventh road win in its previous 21 chances away from Old Trafford. Yet, arguments can be made the scoreline was undeserved since United lost the xG battle despite winning 3-1 on big chances, per fotmob.com.

Entering this fixture, United still needs to resolve glaring defensive issues. It has yet to keep any of its four opponents under one xG and has conceded two big chances per 90 minutes away from home.

By The Numbers

• +7— United big scoring chances differential minus its actual goal differential.
• 7th — The Red Devils’ table ranking in NPxG per 90 minutes this season.

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Betting Analysis & Pick

There's only one way I see this game going and that's goals, goals and more goals.

Right now, both defenses are non-existent and should surrender plenty of chances to its opponent. From United's perspective, it's due for a sizable amount of positive regression — four goals on 5.2 xG and 10 big scoring chances — so I expect we see the visitors sneak a few past the host.

That said, Leicester is on a bit of a scoring streak at King Power Stadium. You kind of need to turn a blind eye to the xG numbers, but the fact remains the Foxes have scored at least once in five consecutive home outings and in 17 of its last 21 overall.

Add in that United has kept only four clean sheets in its last 21 road matches — three of which were undeseserved — and I'll back Leicester getting on the board.

The Pick: Both Teams to Score — Yes & Total Over 2.5 Goals (-115)