Liverpool (10-6-6) and AFC Bournemouth (6-7-9) will face off today at 12:30 p.m. EST at Vitality Stadium in Bournemouth, Dorset.
Liverpool is favored at a 52-cent price, with the over/under set at 2.5 goals at Fanatics Markets.
Let's get into my Liverpool vs. Bournemouth prediction.
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Prediction
Pick: Hugo Ekitike to Score
My Liverpool vs. Bournemouth best bet is for Hugo Ekitike to score.
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Odds
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Hugo Ekitike to Score Anytime
Leg 2: Match Result: Draw
Hugo Ekitike has been a standout performer among Liverpool’s summer acquisitions. While other new arrivals have taken time to adjust, the French striker made his presence felt immediately at Anfield. With eight league goals this season, he scores at an impressive rate of once every 153 minutes. Ekitike’s role as the undisputed starting striker is secure due to an injury to Alexander Isak, and he has the skill set to trouble any defense.
He already proved this against Bournemouth earlier in the season when he scored the opening goal. In that game, he was a constant threat, registering four shots and putting two on target. He faces a defense that is particularly vulnerable right now. The Cherries have failed to record a clean sheet in their last seven league matches. During that span, they have allowed an average of 2.43 goals per game. Ekitike should find plenty of opportunities to add to his goal tally.
While a Liverpool attacker presents value, the match result itself points toward a potential stalemate. Both clubs have become draw specialists in recent months. Bournemouth has secured a draw in six of its last nine Premier League games. Liverpool, meanwhile, has drawn every one of its four league contests in 2026 and has six draws in its last nine league matches since the start of December.
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | 23.4% | 27.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | 2.95 | 1.25 |
Liverpool vs. Bournemouth Betting Analysis
While Liverpool holds a nine-point advantage over Bournemouth in the standings, the table is so compressed that 10 other teams sit between them. This highlights the parity across the league and suggests this outcome is far from guaranteed. Liverpool’s 10-game unbeaten run in the league is impressive, but six of those results were draws, which has kept them from climbing higher in the table. On the other side, Bournemouth has just one victory in its last 14 matches but maintains a comfortable 10-point cushion above the relegation zone.
The reverse fixture earlier this season was a 4-2 victory for Liverpool, but the score does not tell the whole story.
Bournemouth created numerous chances and only conceded the decisive goals late in the match. That game exposed some of the balance issues that manager Arne Slot has struggled to fix all season. For Liverpool, a persistent frustration has been the inability to convert offensive pressure into goals, especially against defensive-minded teams. In their last match against Burnley, they generated an Expected Goals (xG) of 2.96 from 32 shots but only managed to score once.
Historically, this has been a one-sided affair. Liverpool has won six straight against the Cherries and has taken 13 of the last 14 meetings. However, Bournemouth’s last win against the Reds came at the Vitality Stadium in 2023, a narrow 1-0 victory. Given both teams' current form and tendency to draw, another tight contest could be on the horizon.
