Two European powerhouses clash in the Champions League quarterfinals as Paris Saint-Germain hosts Liverpool at the Parc des Princes in France. The first leg kicks off on Wednesday, April 8, 2026, at 3:00 PM EST, in a highly anticipated rematch of last season's knockout tie.
PSG is favored at a -143 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+122o / -162u) goals.
Let’s get into our PSG vs Liverpool prediction.
PSG vs Liverpool Prediction
The best prediction for this match is a high-scoring affair where both teams find the back of the net. With two of the most potent attacks in Europe on display, expect the goal count to exceed 2.5 in what should be an open and entertaining contest.
PSG vs Liverpool Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +110 | 3.5 +122o / -162u | +333 |
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -155 | 3.5 +122o / -162u | -143 |
PSG vs Liverpool Picks
Here are the top picks for the Champions League clash between PSG and Liverpool:
- Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score (-125 at bet365)
PSG enters this match as an offensive juggernaut in the Champions League, having scored a competition-high 34 goals in 12 matches, an average of 2.83 per game. However, its defense has been vulnerable, conceding 17 times. This combination has led to high-scoring games, with an incredible 10 of its 12 matches in the tournament featuring over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, both teams have scored in nine of those 12 contests.
Liverpool brings its own firepower, averaging 2.40 goals per game in the competition. The Reds have seen goals on both sides in five of their last seven matches, and their last three away games have all featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 total goals. Both clubs rank at the top of the Champions League for expected goals for (xGF), with Liverpool at 2.37 and PSG close behind at 2.26. Given these attacking metrics and defensive tendencies, a goal-fest in Paris seems highly probable.
PSG vs Liverpool Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 21.4% | 51.5% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | 3.16 | 1.87 |
PSG vs Liverpool Betting Analysis
This quarterfinal first leg presents a fascinating tactical battle. PSG, playing at home, will likely control possession and look to build a significant advantage to take to Anfield. They have a major scheduling advantage, as their domestic league match was postponed, giving them six full days of rest. In contrast, Liverpool faces a crucial Premier League fixture against Fulham sandwiched between the two European legs, making squad management a key challenge.
The head-to-head history is perfectly balanced, with each team winning two of their four previous encounters and no draws. Last season, PSG eliminated Liverpool on penalties after two tight 1-0 games. However, PSG's current form suggests a more open match. They have been ruthless against English opposition at home this season, beating Tottenham 5-3 and Chelsea 5-2. After being wasteful against Liverpool last year with 27 shots and no goals, the Parisians have become far more clinical, overperforming their expected goals by a significant margin in this campaign. Liverpool will aim to absorb pressure and punish PSG on the counterattack, a strategy that could expose the French champions' aggressive fullbacks.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your PSG vs Liverpool picks.
