West Ham United vs. Crystal Palace Prediction & Pick: A Same Game Parlay For Sunday
James Gill/Getty. Pictured: Declan Rice.
- Crystal Palace look to keep up their form against West Ham United.
- Will the Eagles snag a second consecutive win?
- Brett Pund offers his analysis and best bet.
West Ham United vs. Crystal Palace Odds
|West Ham Odds
|2.5 (+114 / -138)
|Day | Time
|Sunday | 9 a.m. ET
|How To Watch
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.
West Ham welcome Crystal Palace to the London Stadium on Sunday for a feisty London derby in the Premier League.
The Hammers have started to turn around a slow start to the season, climbing to 13th in the league table with 14 points.
Meanwhile, the Eagles also enter the match on decent form, winning three of the last five games to move to 10th.
Over the years, this fixture has featured goals, and we should have another entertaining affair this time around as well.
West Ham on the Rise?
West Ham opened the campaign with three straight losses to Manchester City, Nottingham Forest and Brighton. However, the club has responded with just four defeats in the next 10 league games.
Manager David Moyes’ side has been better at home compared to on the road, securing 10 of 14 points in East London.
The Hammers have also been solid defensively, ranking in the Top 5 in the EPL in expected goals allowed per game (0.98) and big scoring chances allowed per 90 minutes (1.538), according to fbref.com.
Once Moyes can get his attacking pieces of Jarrod Bowen, Gianluca Scamacca and Michail Antonio to gel, West Ham should continue to move up the league table.
No Place Like Home for Palace
Besides also being located in London, Palace’s other similarity to the Hammers is that the club performs much better at home.
Manager Patrick Vieira’s team has 16 points through the opening 12 games and all but three of those came at Selhurst Park.
In fact, the Eagles do not have a win and have only scored in two of the five fixtures on the road this campaign.
However, this hasn’t stopped star attacker Wilfried Zaha from having a solid season, leading the club with five goals to go along with an assist.
West Ham vs. Crystal Palace Prediction & Pick
When I look at the odds for this game at FanDuel, West Ham is listed as the moneyline favorite at -110 odds, while the total is set at 2.5 goals. It is impossible to ignore the home and road numbers for the teams, but I want a better price on the hosts.
So, my best bet is a Single Game Parlay, pairing a Hammers’ victory with the total falling under 4.5 goals at +103 odds.
Moyes’ team holds a +1.3 xGDiff at home this season, but if you remove the opening losses to City and Brighton, this mark improves to +3.9. This is also the same side that has only allowed one big scoring chance at home in the last four fixtures.
Meanwhile, the advanced metrics paint a rough picture for Palace on the road. Only Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth have a worse xGDiff away from home than the Eagles’ -6.1 this season.
Vieira’s team has also only averaged 0.68 expected goals and 1.167 big scoring chances per 90 minutes on the road, which doesn’t bode well against the stout West Ham defense.
If you wanted to get more aggressive, I don’t hate a bet on the Hammers to Win to Nil at +195 odds, but I’ll take the safer route with the Single Game Parlay.
The Pick: Single Game Parlay — West Ham ML & Total Under 4.5 Goals (+103)