ATP Gstaad Odds, Picks & Previews: Back the Overs in the Swiss Alps (July 19)
Via Christian Kaspar-Bartke/Getty Images. Pictured: Dominic Stephan Stricker.
- There's ATP action on clay courts Tuesday, and our tennis analyst has a pair of best bets to tail.
- He's eying two overs and an underdog to pull the upset at plus-money.
- Check out Jonathan Reid's picks and analysis below.
We’re back to clay events for the first few weeks of July, and the ATP has a pair of tournaments for daytime viewing in North America.
With a 500-level tournament in the northern German city of Hamburg and a 250 in the Swiss resort town of Gstaad, there’s no shortage of action to consume.
Let’s take a look at a pair of matches taking place in the Swiss Alps!
Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches.
Thiago Monteiro (-125) vs. Nicolas Jarry (+100)
8:30 a.m. ET
The first match we’ll break down features two South American clay courters who both play with bigger power than most traditional clay-court specialists.
Nicolas Jarry is as close to as it comes to being a serve-oriented clay specialist. With a hold percentage over 87% and break-of-serve percentage of under 20%, he’s a rare breed among those who prefer to play on the slowest surface in the sport.
With Gstaad up in the mountains and the air being thinner, that style should really be accentuated, and Jarry should be right at home (he’s come through qualifying and has yet to drop a set).
His Brazilian counterpart is also known to play with excellent pace, and with a strong serve and forehand combination, he is a talented, yet mercurial kind of player.
The southpaw often battles bouts of inconsistency from the baseline, and as a result, he plays more than his fair share of three-set matches and close sets.
Between both players being strong servers, the altitude, and both with a propensity to find themselves in close sets often, I’ll be backing the over.
Pick: Over 22.5 Games (-140 via FanDuel)
Marc-Andrea Huesler (-210) vs. Dominic Stephan Stricker (+170)
11:30 a.m. ET
The final match of the day features two of Switzerland’s top players, as Marc-Andrea Huesler takes on up-and-coming young gun Dominic Stephan Stricker.
With both southpaws possessing incredible serve and forehand combos, both players should enjoy the conditions in Gstaad. In fact, most of Huesler’s success this season has come at Challenger events played at altitude in Mexico. Though the caliber of opposition didn’t provide the same level of test Stricker can, Huesler has put past struggles on clay at altitude (several first-round losses and only one win in his home country tournament) behind him.
As for Stricker, he emerged as a wild card in Geneva (played at slightly less altitude) last season, beating Marin Cilic and Marton Fucsovics as a big underdog before falling in three sets to Pablo Andujar.
With both guys at their best in quicker conditions and using their serves as their biggest weapons, this one should be a tight affair with breaks of serve coming at a premium. I’m going to take the over here as well as the underdog moneyline, which should be priced up as a much closer contest than it is currently at +170.