Jabeur vs Vondrousova Odds, Pick | Expert Wimbledon Final Picks
Visionhaus, Frey/Getty. Pictured: Marketa Vondrousova and Ons Jabeur.
Jabeur vs Vondrousova Odds
|Over/Under||21.5 (-125 / +100)|
|Time | How to Watch||Saturday, 9 a.m. ET | ESPN|
|Odds via DraftKings. For tips on how to watch the Wimbledon, click here.|
The first Wimbledon final of the tournament has arrived as the women will take center stage on Saturday morning.
It'll be a first-time Grand Slam champion no matter who comes out victorious, as neither Ons Jabeur nor Marketa Vondrousova have a Slam title to their name, despite both reaching finals in the past.
Jabeur was a Wimbledon finalist last year, and she also reached the final of the 2022 US Open. Vondrousova reached the French Open final in 2019.
Jabeur vs Vondrousova Picks
The Tunisian seems to be better mentally in this event than she usually is. She has remained calm in pressure situations, has hit her spots on serve and her forehand has been terrific, allowing Jabeur to dictate play from that wing.
She is best known for her variety, however, with her touch and cutting backhand slice huge factors in her success. In addition, the Tunisian spreads the court well.
Vondrousova defeated a wayward Elina Svitolina 6-3, 6-3 in the semifinal. Despite winning just 35% of her second serves (second-straight match under 40% second serves won), Vondrousova won 74% of her first serves and broke on six occasions.
She has effectively adapted to the grass, moving and counterpunching successfully on the surface. The Czech’s drop shots and slices have also been excellent this tournament.
Ultimately, Jabeur has a 67-19 career-record on grass for a reason. She’s much more comfortable than Vondrousova playing offense on the surface and her variety is better executed compared to the Czech’s.
Jabeur also has the power on her forehand to dictate play and rush Vondrousova’s elongated forehand motion.
Pick: Jabeur -3.5 games (-110 via PointsBet)
Jon Reid: Jabeur has one heck of an impressive record on grass over the last few seasons, and it's no surprise why. Not only does she have a very strong first serve and powerful baseline game, but she's also able to keep the ball very low with her backhand slice, and her drop shots help mix things up and disrupt her opponents rhythm from the baseline.
Vondrousova, on the other hand, may not have the power to take advantage of the quick, slick courts, but her variety has played very well over the course of the last fortnight.
The Czech can use the defensive slice to give herself more time to recover when pulled into the outer thirds, redirect pace with aplomb and her opposition is always hard-pressed to coax errors from her, regardless of what wing they look to target. The real improvement this year, however, has to be in her movement. Defending and court coverage has always been one of her strengths, but with grass being a little tricky and not being all that conducive to sliding, it can take longer to get used to.
I do think Jabeur's variety is more suited to success on grass, and her experience in the final last season should help her this time around. The -3 looks tempting, but I wouldn't be going particularly large on it.