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Simona Halep vs. Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Picks (July 6)

Simona Halep vs. Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Picks (July 6) article feature image
Credit:

Visionhaus/Getty. Pictured: Simona Halep.

Halep vs. Anisimova Odds

Halep Odds -230
Anisimova Odds +185
Over/Under 21.5
Time | How to Watch 8:30 a.m. ET | ESPN/ESPN+
Odds via PointsBet. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

It’s just a matter of days before we crown the champions at Wimbledon, as just a handful of matches remain on the women’s side of things.

The definitive match of the quarterfinal round in women’s singles features the red-hot Simona Halep and Amanda Anisimova.

Let’s check out where the value lies in this matchup!

Anisimova Finding Success With Quick Courts

Despite a career record of just 6-6 on the grass entering the 2022 season, it should come as no shock that Anisimova has found her groove on a surface that suits her game rather decently.

With the natural power on her serve and forehand, the grass was always a surface that the young American was going to find success on at some point.

Throw in the fact that she is a better mover than most women of her height, and you remove the glaring weakness that many women with her caliber of serve run into.

So far this tournament she’s beaten a baseline wall that likes to hit flat in Lauren Davis, an elite server with solid rally tolerance in Coco Gauff and a slice-and-dice type opponent in Harmony Tan – who shocked several players en route to the fourth round.

While she hasn’t played anyone of Halep’s level on the surface yet (other than Halep herself, when she lost badly in her lone warmup even for Wimbledon), Anisimova has the player profile that could trouble the veteran.

The problem is, that generally consists of nearly perfect serving and hitting to get through the incredibly solid baseline game of the World No. 18.

The path to victory may exist for Anisimova, but it’s far from being the most likely outcome.

Halep Continues To Look Unstoppable

While Halep is essentially the co-favorite to win the event at this point, it’s about time to open a dialogue about whether she’s simply the best grass-court player on the women’s tour now that Ashleigh Barty has retired.

The 30-year-old has completely revamped her approach to grass-court tennis, adding a good amount of pace to her first serve, being much more aggressive on her forehand wing and looking to close out points far more often than she used to.

When coupled with her elite movement, consistent play and incredible rally tolerance and generate depth with her groundstrokes, she’s become one of the best all-around grass courters out there.

While I’m not one to overvalue previous results too much, Halep also dismantled Anisimova on the grass courts of Bad Homburg the week before The Championships as well.

Considering Halep’s ability to return and counter punch, unless Anisimova is consistently hitting with great power and hitting small targets, it’s hard to see how exactly she gets through Halep.

Betting Value

While Anisimova has the game that could trouble Halep with the pure power that can hit through the Romanian when redlining for a prolonged period, I see absolutely no reason to oppose Halep right now.

The form is scintillating, having dropped a total of three sets in her 11 matches on the grass in 2022 (with none of those coming at Wimbledon). Further, she’s dropped just 5.5 games per match to this point at the All England Club.

Halep holds massive leads in the hold plus break percentage and Elo Rating categories over her American counterpart to boot.

I’m sticking with the hot hand and laying the games in this matchup.

Picks: Halep -3.5 games (-120)

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