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Storm vs. Mercury Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2026

Storm at Mercury

2:00 am • CW Seattle

Seattle Storm

8-36
67
67 - 90

Phoenix Mercury

16-28
90

Storm at Mercury Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Storm
8-36
+5.5
+4.5-115
o170-107
+150
Mercury
16-28
u167.5
-4.5-105
u170-109
-180
location pinFriday 2:00 a.m.
July 03, 2026
Mortgage Matchup CenterPhoenix
Storm vs. Mercury Expert Picks
Tyler Shoemaker
Tyler Shoemaker
Last 30d: 33-39-0 (-1.7u)
PHX -5.5-110
5u
Over 166.5-110
5.5u
Sean Koerner🔮
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 49-61-0 (+1.8u)
J.Melbourne u8.5 Pts-127
0.64u
With Ezi/Horston both expected back here, it should make the Storm rotations a bit tougher to project and Jade as more of a facilitator (which my model is also projecting for her against a 3P funnel defense in Pho). Projecting her closer to 6.8 points with around a 63% chance to stay under 8.5 but her floor is much lower in this spot
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 370-388-7 (+21.5u)
A.Thomas o6.5 Rebs-105
0.5u
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 39-37-0 (+5.6u)
K.Copper To Score 20+ Points Yes+110
0.5u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 41-30-1 (+1.4u)
J.Melbourne u8.5 Pts-127
0.64u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-4.3u)
D.Malonga o17.5 Pts-128
1u

Storm vs. Mercury Previews & Analysis

  • Storm vs Mercury: Bet This Alyssa Thomas Prop article feature image

    Storm vs Mercury: Bet This Alyssa Thomas Prop

    Doug Ziefel•
    Jul 2, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Storm vs. Mercury Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Storm

Public

Home Logo

Mercury

31%

Bets%

69%

Money%

WNBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Mercury are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Mercury are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Mercury are 11-11 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mercury' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Mercury' 22 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mercury		19-258-1411-116-913-16
Storm		22-2213-99-132-420-18

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mercury		22-2214-88-148-714-15
Storm		20-2411-119-131-519-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mercury		16-28N/AN/A8-78-21
Storm		8-36N/AN/A2-46-32

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 27th@TORW 89-80+5.5 WU 178PHX +180
Jun 24th@INDW 111-109+8.5 WO 176.5PHX +310
Jun 23rd@INDL 77-86+7.5 LU 177.5IND +250
Jun 20thSEAW 93-73-6.5 WO 163.5PHX -260
Jun 18thLVAL 76-86+6.5 LU 171.5LVA +225

Mercury vs. Storm Injury Updates

Mercury Injuries

  • Kelsey Plum
    G

    Plum is out with leg

    Out

  • Natasha Mack
    F/C

    Mack is day-to-day with foot

    Day-to-Day

  • Marta Suarez
    F

    Suarez is day-to-day with concussion

    Day-to-Day

Storm Injuries

  • Ezi Magbegor
    F/C

    Magbegor is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Katie Lou Samuelson
    G

    Samuelson is out for season with knee

    Out for Season

  • Dominique Malonga
    C

    Malonga is day-to-day with back

    Day-to-Day

  • Flau'Jae Johnson
    G

    Johnson is day-to-day with ankle

    Day-to-Day

  • Taina Mair
    G

    Mair is out with unknown

    Out

See more WNBA Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

26-62 (42%)
Field Goals
33-73 (45%)
7-12 (58%)
Free Throws
13-19 (68%)
8-25 (32%)
3P
11-26 (42%)
29
Rebounds
40
19
Assists
23
Turnovers
5
Steals
9
6
Blocks
4
17
Fouls
13

Storm vs. Mercury Odds Comparison

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Storm at Mercury Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Storm
8-36
N/A
N/A
Mercury
16-28
N/A
N/A