WNBA Best Bets Today: Expert Picks, Player Prop, Predictions (Tuesday, June 11)

WNBA Best Bets Today: Expert Picks, Player Prop, Predictions (Tuesday, June 11) article feature image

Skylar Diggins-Smith #4 of the Seattle Storm shoots a free throw during the game against the Los Angeles Sparks on May 4, 2024 at Rodgers Place in Edmonton, Canada. (Photo by Sergei Belski/NBAE via Getty Images)

Tuesday night in the WNBA has three games on deck as our experts give their staff picks for each matchup on the slate for tonight.

On League Pass, we have the Washington Mystics still looking for their first win as they take on the Atlanta Dream at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Minnesota Lynx meet up against the Las Vegas Aces in a NBA TV matchup at 10 p.m. ET. And last, but not least the Los Angeles Sparks face Skylar Diggins-Smith and the Seattle Storm on a League Pass nightcap at 10 p.m. ET.

Without further ado, let's take a look into our best bets and predictions for Tuesday, June 11 in our WNBA best bets and expert picks for today.

WNBA Best Bets Today | Tuesday, June 11

GameTime (ET)Pick
7:30 p.m.
10 p.m.
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our WNBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Mystics vs. Dream

Tuesday, June 11
7:30 p.m. ET
League Pass
Mystics 1H +4.5 (1H ML +225)

By Andrew O'Connor Watts

Atlanta is a better team than the Mystics, I’ll make that clear off the bat. But the Dream are late-risers, and tend to play in their sleep for the first two frames before waking up in the second half. The Mystics are the exact opposite. They play well to start out, but collapse late in games—specifically the fourth quarter. Both teams are in their better respective home/away splits for this to be a great spot to target Washington who are 8-3 ATS in the first half, but 6-1 on the road. Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in the first half and have yet to cover their five home games so far this season.
I’ll like this more if Shakira Austin (hip) and Brittney Sykes (ankle) play, but Sykes (who has been upgraded to probable to play) has missed most of the season and Austin hasn’t played in June and the Mystics are 3-1 ATS since she’s been out. Since I project the Mystics as small favorites through two quarters, I’ll sprinkle the first-half moneyline for Washington. If we cash the first half play, I’ll look to live bet the Dream at halftime and hope for another Mystics late-game collapse.

Pick: Mystics 1H +4.5 (1H ML +225)

Lynx vs. Aces

Tuesday, June 11
10 p.m. ET
Napheesa Collier Over 10.5 Rebounds (+100)

By Danielle Alvari

Napheesa Collier leads the Lynx in rebounding and is averaging 11.4 rebounds per game. She has already notched 11 or more rebounds in 8 of her 11 games played this season.

Notably, she is facing the league leader in rebounds, A’ja Wilson, who is averaging 11.8 rebounds per game. However, Wilson is the only consistent rebounder on her team. Yes, the Aces rank first in defensive rebounding, but they also rank last in offensive rebounding. In fact, they have only out-rebounded another team two times in their nine games played so far this season. To be fair, one of those teams was the Lynx, but Napheesa still notched 13 boards that game.

The Aces should be fired up coming off of two straight losses, and will have Jackie Young back after being without her for the last two. Moreover, you could argue Collier is due for some regression with the numbers she’s been putting up, but I just don’t see that happening in this game against the 2x defending champs.

Pick: Napheesa Collier Over 10.5 Rebounds (+100)

Sparks vs. Storm

Tuesday, June 11
10 p.m. ET
League Pass
Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 15.5 points (-115)

By Danielle Alvari

Skylar Diggins-Smith is averaging 14.5 points per game and is coming off a rough seven point performance vs the Lynx heading into this matchup with the Sparks.

However, the Lynx have the second best defensive rating in the league. Even SDS’s sharp shooting teammate, Jewell Loyd, went 1 of 9 from three. Meanwhile, the Sparks sit at 8th in defensive rating while giving up the 5th most points in the league, making this a great bounce back spot for SDS. In the five games before her lackluster Lynx performance, Diggins-Smith was averaging 18.6 points per game, punctuated by a 21 point performance vs the Aces. She has scored over 15.5 points in 7 of her 11 games so far this season.

Los Angeles also allows the second most opponent points off turnovers and have struggled to contain quick guards this season, most recently Kelsey Plum who scored 24 on them last Sunday.

Keep in mind, Seattle’s Nneka Ogwumike will be returning to play her former team for the first time, which could result in a big performance from her (+156 to score 20+ points on FanDuel is intriguing). Nevertheless, this Storm team has continued to model a balanced offense with all four starters scoring in double digits in their past 5 wins.

Pick: Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 15.5 points (-115)

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