Sean Koerner

Sean Koerner

2450 Posts
Sean Koerner
2450 Posts
Role
Director of Predictive Analytics
Experience
20 years
Location
Los Angeles
Total Bets
4.1K
Followers
452.1K

Experience

Sean is one of the most decorated fantasy analysts in the industry, finishing first in the FantasyPros In-Season Accuracy standings in 2023 – which measures almost all fantasy football analysts on their in-season projections over the course of the season. You can read more about their methodology here. He also won the in-season ranking title in 2015, 2016 and 2017. This past season, he not only finished first overall, but was the No. 1 ranker out of 180+ entrants in running back, wide receiver and kicker rankings. He was top 10 in quarterbacks and tight ends, as well.

His 2023 performance was arguably the best in the contest’s history:

  • It was a record fourth No. 1 finish in the accuracy contest
  • He was the first expert in history to be No. 1 at multiple positions (RB + WR)
  • He was the expert to finish top 10 at every position

Sean started to become obsessed with sports betting & fantasy football ever since his father took him to Las Vegas for his annual fantasy football draft (at 8 years old). Sean started trying to project teams/players ever since and almost every action/decision he's made since has led him to where he is today. He began betting 20 years ago and began his sports betting/fantasy sports career as soon as he graduated from college in 2007. Prior to joining Action in 2018, he worked for MGM, RotoHog/FastPoint games, Bloomberg Sports, STATS.

Sean began his betting career in college by building sports betting models. He eventually turned into a bookie in college before moving to Vegas to work at Excalibur Sportsbook as a supervisor. He decided to move back to California to begin a career in fantasy sports/betting at RotoHog as a product manager. That was when he began entering his season-long fantasy projections into the FSTA contests and won the award for most accurate season-long NFL & MLB projections 2-3 times each.

He then moved to NY to work for Bloomberg Sports as a product manager and Head of Projections. They were eventually acquired by STATS where he maintained the same role as a product manager. That was when he began entering his weekly NFL rankings into the FantasyPros accuracy contest and won first place 3 years in a row from 2015-2017. He joined Action Network in 2018.

Education

Sean has a BA in Psychology from Long Beach State and took multiple advanced stats classes. He spent most of his time in the library reading stats/sports betting books, creating prediction models, and using them to bet on various sports (MLB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, etc.).

Specialties

  • NFL
  • College football
  • College basketball
  • Player projections
  • Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point 
More from Sean Koerner
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Can Bryce Young & Carolina Panthers Win the NFC South? | NFC South Predictions | The Favorites

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Is Tua a TOP 10 Fantasy QB?

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Can the Los Angeles Chargers win the AFC West in 2023? | The Favorites

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NFC West Betting Breakdown with Matt Freedman | The Favorites

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Aug 1, 2023 UTC
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Who Will Lead the NFL in Interceptions?

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Aug 1, 2023 UTC
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Sean Koerner🔮's Picks

Today
McLean’s superpower through his first two MLB seasons has been generating called strikes. It’s one of the least sticky pitcher skills year to year, yet he’s managed to consistently tie hitters up. After posting an elite 59.5% zone swing rate as a rookie, hitters are still swinging at just 59.5% of pitches in the zone this year (league average is typically 66-67%). His stuff and pitch mix are excellent, so he has the arsenal to keep freezing hitters, but a lot of his other underlying metrics are much closer to league average. If hitters start attacking more strikes, his K rate takes a significant hit. We’ve already started to see that happen. Over his first 7 starts, opponents swung at just 58% of pitches in the zone. Over his last 7 starts, that’s jumped to 62%, and his strikeout rate has fallen accordingly. I think that’s closer to his true talent level than what we saw earlier in the season. The Reds rank 7th-lowest in zone swing rate on the season, but today’s projected lineup looks a bit more aggressive than their team numbers suggest. Part of that is rookie Edwin Arroyo leading off. It’s obviously a tiny sample with only 39 plate appearances, but he’s swung at an absurd 84% of strikes so far. That’s exactly the type of approach that can neutralize one of McLean’s biggest strengths and hopefully set the tone for the rest of the lineup. I still expect McLean to rack up a handful of strikeouts because his ability to steal called strikes is very real. But 6.5 is exposing his most likely outcome range here. I have him landing in the 5-6 K bucket most often and staying under 6.5 around 62% of the time.
78
8
Pending
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday2-2-050%
0.14u
Last 7 Days15-7-068%
4.32u
Last 30 Days47-42-351%
4.05u
All Time2238-1839-3854%
242.80u
Top Leagues
NFL1225-970-2055%
141.31u
MLB362-321-752%
41.68u
NCAAB313-254-355%
31.47u
WNBA177-138-455%
24.74u
NCAAF38-28-256%
5.17u
World Baseball Classic2-0-0100%
1.00u
Golf8-14-036%
0.77u
UFL5-4-056%
0.60u
NBA108-106-250%
-3.45u
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.