More from Sean Koerner
Is Dalton Kincaid the Next STAR Tight End? 2023 Fantasy Football Rookie TE Rankings | Fantasy Flex
Can Lamar Jackson & New Baltimore Ravens Offense Win Super Bowl? | AFC North Picks | The Favorites
Will Anthony Richardson Be a Top 10 Fantasy QB? 2023 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings | Fantasy Flex
Breakout Rookie Wide Receivers to Draft in Fantasy! 2023 Fantasy Football WR Rankings | Fantasy Flex
Sean Koerner's Picks
Today
S.Perine u25.5 Rush Yds-115
CLE
@
CIN
0.58u
01/04 6:00 PM
Proj closer to 21 with around a 60% chance to stay under 25.5
121
D.Schultz u4.5 Recs-112
IND
@
HOU
0.56u
01/04 6:00 PM
Proj closer to 4.2 with a 59% chance to stay under 4.5
180
T.Spears u4.5 Rush Att+100
TEN
@
JAC
0.5u
01/04 6:00 PM
Proj closer to 4.1 rush att with around a 59% chance to stay under
Mentioned on the pod with everyone on Pollards over who needs 66 yards for incentives, it’s a tougher matchup in what could be a trailing game script of 2+ scores, they may need to give him extra work in order to try to clear his prop, which would come at the expense of Spears (in theory)
91
T.McKee u227.5 Pass Yds-112
WAS
@
PHI
0.56u
01/04 9:25 PM
Underrated backup I think will surprise some people. Could see him being very efficient early on setting up more of a run heavy game script. He will likely be without AJB/Smith/Goedert which caps his upside a bit. Proj him closer to 215.5 with around a 59% chance to stay under 227.5. Obviously a wide range of outcomes which is the case for most Week 18 props
144
J.Wright u16.5 Rush Att+102
MIA
@
NE
0.5u
01/04 9:25 PM
Should see big workload with Achane out, but should be a trailing game script and Ollie Gordon potentially mixing in on short yardage work and Wilson/Edwards could also mix in depending on if either are active. Proj closer to 15.5 with around a 58% chance to stay under 16.5
121
Pending
Futures
Matthew Stafford o22.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Passing TDs
0.57u
Discussed this on The Favorites
70
Cooper Kupp u700.5-114
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Receiving Yards
1.14u
87
Javonte Williams u525.5-115
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Rushing Yards
1.15u
48
Jared Verse o7.5-135
2025 NFL Regular Season - Total Sacks
1.35u
50
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-5-0 | 0% | -2.09u |
| Last 7 Days | 10-5-0 | 67% | 2.95u |
| Last 30 Days | 36-29-0 | 55% | 3.17u |
| All Time | 2021-1627-31 | 55% | 234.54u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 1193-943-19 | 55% | 140.12u |
| MLB | 298-247-4 | 54% | 42.72u |
| NCAAB | 263-211-3 | 55% | 28.81u |
| WNBA | 147-118-3 | 55% | 19.47u |
| NCAAF | 37-24-2 | 59% | 6.59u |
| UFL | 5-4-0 | 56% | 0.60u |
| Golf | 0-3-0 | 0% | -0.60u |
| NBA | 78-74-0 | 51% | -2.77u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Patrick Mahomes under 30.5 rushing yards for Super Bowl LIV. He had 44 yards going into the final drive. Kneeled down 3 times for -15 yards to drop down to 29 yards and hit the under
Most Heartbreaking Bet
Max bet Jimmy Graham under 23.5 rec yards in the WC playoff game against NO in 2020. He had 6 yards heading into the final drive with the Bears down 3-21. On the final play of the game, Mitch Trubisky finds Graham in the back of the end zone for an insane one handed grab for a 19-yard garbage time TD. Graham finished with 25 yards and I'm still tilted by this. Side note: Stuckey was on this prop with me.
Specialties
- NFL
- College football
- College basketball
- Player projections
- Have created team/player projection models for essentially every sport at some point