Sean Koerner

If you are on PrizePicks, can pair this with Jaylin Hawkins Under 4.5 tackles. Have to post this one now because there’s no way this number would have survived by tomorrow morning. Williams was benched for Fransisco Mauigoa last week, there was one problem though…Mauigoa wasn’t able to suit up due to remaining in the concussion protocol so Williams ended up playing his usual full time role and racked up 7 tackles. However, Mauigoa was cleared to play for TNF so we could see Williams play anywhere from 0-85% of snaps. Even if I project him for 100% of the snaps (worst case scenario) I’m projecting him to stay under this around 55% of the time. But if he only plays 50% of the snaps? It would be like a 75-80% chance he stays under if not higher. There is a wide range of outcomes here but it all favors his floor/under. I realize some people are confused by my 0.5u baseline this season (I’ve explained numerous time it has nothing to do with confidence…this would be a multi unit play but you can only get so much down on tackle props so that would be a cheap way of handling tracking purposes, but just know this is a very very confident under)