2021 Academy Awards Winners & Oscars Betting Results: Chloé Zhao, Daniel Kaluuya Win as Heavy Favorites

2021 Academy Awards Winners & Oscars Betting Results: Chloé Zhao, Daniel Kaluuya Win as Heavy Favorites article feature image
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Chris Pizzello-Pool/Getty Images. Pictured: Chloé Zhao.

2021 Academy Award Winners

  • Best Original Screenplay: “Promising Young Woman,” Emerald Fennell
  • Best Adapted Screenplay: “The Father,” Christopher Hampton and Florian Zeller
  • Best International Feature: “Another Round”
  • Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah”
  • Best Makeup & Hairstyling: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
  • Best Costume Design: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
  • Best Director: Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland”
  • Best Sound: “Sound of Metal”
  • Best Live Action Short: “Two Distant Strangers”
  • Best Animated Short: If Anything Happens I Love You”
  • Best Animated Feature: “Soul”
  • Best Documentary Short: “Colette”
  • Best Documentary Feature: “My Octopus Teacher”
  • Best Visual Effects: “Tenet”
  • Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-jung, “Minari”
  • Best Production Design: “Mank”
  • Best Cinematography: “Mank”
  • Best Film Editing: “Sound of Metal”
  • Best Original Score: “Soul”
  • Best Original Song: “Fight for You,” “Judas and the Black Messiah”
  • Best Picture: “Nomadland”
  • Best Actress: Frances McDormand
  • Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins

The biggest night in movies is here. It might be a little different than year’s past, but we still have those interested in the betting aspect of the 2021 Academy Awards covered.

No host, no audience? No problem. Fans of the big screen will tune in to honor the best in film from the past year, which could have a big effect on the industry moving forward.

Here’s how we are betting the 93rd Oscars:

We’ll go in order of how the awards are going to be presented tonight, with a link to our breakdown of the category linked:

(Winners are in bold.)

Best Supporting Actor

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Daniel Kaluuya (Judas and the Black Messiah) -2500 96.2%
Sacha Baron Cohen (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +1200 7.7%
Paul Raci (Sound of Metal) +1200 7.7%
Leslie Odom Jr. (One Night in Miami) +1700 5.6%
Lakeith Stanfield (Judas and the Black Messiah) +3300 2.9%
Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings.

Best Animated Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Soul -5000 98%
Wolfwalkers +700 12.5%
Onward +2500 3.9%
Over The Moon +2800 3.5%
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon +4000 2.4%

Best Animated Short

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
If Anything Happens I Love You -335 77%
Opera +450 18.2%
Burrow +650 13.3%
Genius Loci +1000 9.1%
Yes People +2500 3.9%
Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings.

Best Original Screenplay

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Promising Young Woman -455 82%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +275 26.71%
Minari +1400 6.7%
Sound of Metal +3300 2.9%
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300 2.9%
Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -400 80%
The Father +275 26.7%
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm +800 11.1%
One Night in Miami +1400 6.7%
The White Tiger +3300 2.9%
Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings.
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Best Live Action Short

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
The Letter Room -167 62.6%
Two Distant Strangers +150 40%
Feeling Through +1200 7.7%
The Present +1200 7.7%
White Eye +3300 2.9%

Best Production Design

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Mank -560 84.9%
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom +650 13.3%
Tenet +800 11.1%
News of the World +2000 4.8%
The Father +2000 4.8%
Odds as of April 24 and via DraftKings.

Best Documentary Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
My Octopus Teacher -500 83.3%
Time +400 20%
Collective +800 11.1%
Crip Camp +2000 4.8%
The Mole Agent +5000 2%

Best Documentary Short

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
A Love Song for Latasha -250 71.4%
A Concerto is a Conversation +350 22.2%
Colette +1000 9.1%
Hunger Ward +1200 7.7%
Do Not Split +1400 6.7%

Best Supporting Actress

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Youn Yuh-jung (Minari) -500 83.3%
Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm) +375 21.1%
Glenn Close (Hillbilly Elegy) +1000 9.1%
Olivia Colman (The Father) +2000 4.8%
Amanda Seyfried (Mank) +3300 2.9%

Best Cinematography

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -400 80%
Mank +350 22.2%
News of the World +1400 6.7%
Judas and the Black Messiah +1700 5.6%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +2000 4.8%

Best Film Editing

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Sound of Metal -118 54.1%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 -110 42.4%
Nomadland +650 13.3%
The Father +2000 4.8%
Promising Young Woman +4000 2.4%

Best Visual Effects

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Tenet -560 84.9%
The Midnight Sky +275 26.7%
Mulan +1700 5.6%
The One and Only Ivan +2500 3.9%
Love and Monsters +2500 3.9%

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom -670 87%
Pinocchio +550 15.4%
Hillbilly Elegy +1200 7.7%
Mank +2000 4.8%
Emma +2500 3.9%

Best International Feature

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Another Round (Denmark) -1250 92.6%
Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina) +650 13.3%
Collective (Romania) +1200 7.7%
Better Days (Hong Kong) +2500 3.9%
The Man Who Sold His Skin (Tunisia) +2500 3.9%

Best Original Score

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Soul -1667 94.3%
Mank +800 11.1%
Minari +1700 5.6%
Da 5 Bloods +2500 3.9%
News of the World +2500 3.9%

Best Original Song

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Speak Now (One Night in Miami) -155 60.8%
Io Sì (Seen) (The Life Ahead) +225 30.8%
Husavik (Eurovision Song Contest) +350 22.2%
Fight for You (Judas and the Black Messiah) +2500 3.9%
Hear My Voice (The Trial of the Chicago 7) +2500 3.9%

Best Director

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Chloé Zhao (Nomadland) -3335 97.1%
David Fincher (Mank) +1000 9.1%
Lee Isaac Chung (Minari) +1700 5.6%
Emerald Fennell (Promising Young Woman) +2000 4.8%
Thomas Vinterberg (Another Round) +2500 3.9%

Best Actor

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Chadwick Boseman (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) -1667 94.3%
Anthony Hopkins (The Father) +700 12.5%
Riz Ahmed (The Sound of Metal) +1400 6.7%
Steven Yeun (Minari) +2500 3.9%
Gary Oldman (Mank) +3300 2.9%

Best Actress

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Carey Mulligan (Promising Young Woman) +125 44.4%
Viola Davis (Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom) +200 33.3%
Frances McDormand (Nomadland) +400 20%
Andra Day (The United States vs. Billie Holiday) +600 14.3%
Vanessa Kirby (Pieces of a Woman) +2000 4.8%

Best Picture

Nominee Odds Implied Prob.
Nomadland -670 87%
The Trial of the Chicago 7 +600 14.3%
Minari +1400 6.7%
Promising Young Woman +1700 5.6%
Mank +3300 2.9%
Judas and the Black Messiah +3300 2.9%
The Sound of Metal +5000 2.0%
The Father +10000 1%

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