Best Supporting Actress Predictions & Betting Odds for the 2020 Oscars


Kevin Winter/Getty Images. Pictured: Laura Dern

Best Supporting Actress Prediction for 2020 Oscars

Katie Richcreek: Laura Dern, Marriage Story (-2500)

Beyond the fact she gave a stellar performance in Noah Baumbach’s Netflix film and has swept award season, there are a couple key points that could factor into the Academy’s decision here:

  • Dern has been been on a tear since 2017, dominating the small and big screen since — this year alone she’s starred in two Best Picture-nominated films. It’s the type of run the Academy loves to reward, especially for a universally beloved actress
  • Despite earning six nominations, Marriage Story isn’t primed to take home a lot of hardware on Sunday night. This is the only category in which they’re the front-runner (according to sportsbooks and the public conversation), so this would be the most obvious way to ensure the movie is recognized.

Don’t let any odds movement fool you: Dern is a lock.

Chris Raybon: Dern to Win, Scarlett Johansson at +2400 or Better

Of the four acting frontrunners, Dern was the only one not picked to win by 100% of Gold Derby experts at the time of this writing, with 6.5% picking Johansson to pull off the upset.

That doesn’t translate to quite as much in terms of true odds: Historically, a nominee picked by 5-10% of experts has hit at a 3.9% clip, so you’d still want odds of +2400 or better before betting on Johansson. I still have Dern at 94.2% odds (-1625), so technically, she’s the better value given current odds.

One thing we do know for sure is that Margot Robbie will be getting at least one vote because some guy has a crush on her.

[Bet now at DraftKings, where you can get 10-1 odds on any Best Picture nominee to win. NJ and IN only.]

Best Supporting Actress Odds for 2020 Oscars

  • Laura Dern (Marriage Story) -2500
  • Margot Robbie (Bombshell) +1200
  • Florence Pugh (Little Women) +1400
  • Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit) +2000
  • Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell) +5000

[Bet now at DraftKings, where you can get 10-1 odds on any Best Picture nominee to win. NJ and IN only.]

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