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Chelsea (3-2-1) and Everton (2-0-4) will face off today at 7:30 a.m. ET at Hill Dickinson Stadium in Liverpool, England.
Chelsea is favored at a +110 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +120u) goals.
Let's get into our Chelsea vs. Everton prediction and be sure to download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Chelsea vs. Everton Prediction
Picks: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-175) & Over 2.5 Goals (-150)
Our Chelsea vs. Everton best bet is for both teams to score and for there to be over 2.5 goals. Chelsea's games have been consistently high-scoring, and their defense has been porous, while Everton has a strong record of finding the net at home.
Chelsea vs. Everton Odds
Chelsea vs. Everton Betting Analysis
This match presents a classic clash of styles. Everton, under David Moyes, has built its success on a foundation of defensive solidity. The Toffees boast the best defense in the Premier League, having conceded only five goals from an xGA of 8.26.
They are frustrating opponents with a resilient low block and have started the season unbeaten through six games for only the third time in club history. This defensive grit will be tested by Chelsea's high-powered offense.
Chelsea has become the league's must-watch team, with an attacking philosophy that produces goals at both ends of the field. They have scored 16 goals but also conceded 13, the joint-worst defensive record in the league.
Xabi Alonso's side looks capable of scoring at any moment and has found the net within the first 10 minutes in five of their six Premier League fixtures this term. This early pressure could be key to unlocking Everton's organized defense.
Looking at the head-to-head record, recent history at this venue favors the home side. Everton is undefeated in their last three home games against Chelsea, with two wins and a draw. Last season, Everton secured a dominant 3-0 victory at the Hill Dickinson Stadium.
While Chelsea has had success at Stamford Bridge, their struggles on the road in this fixture make Everton a dangerous opponent, especially given their strong start to the campaign.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Chelsea vs Everton picks.
Chelsea vs. Everton Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-175)
Leg 2: Over 2.5 Goals (-150)
Parlay Odds: -111 (bet365)
Chelsea's matches have been the most entertaining in the Premier League this season, with an average of 4.5 goals per game. The Both Teams to Score bet has been a winner in five of their six league contests, a testament to their potent attack and vulnerable backline.
Xabi Alonso’s squad is packed with offensive talent but has struggled defensively, which should give Everton plenty of opportunities.
In their last outing, a 5-1 win over Bournemouth, Chelsea was incredibly clinical, scoring five goals from an expected goals (xG) figure of just 1.1. However, the fact that Bournemouth created a higher xG highlights the defensive issues that Everton can exploit.
Everton, meanwhile, has been consistent in attack. They have scored in five of their six league matches this season, and they've found the back of the net in 12 of their last 13 home league games in 2026. During that stretch at home, they have averaged 1.56 goals scored per game while conceding 1.46. This trend suggests they have the firepower to trouble a shaky Chelsea defense.
The case for Over 2.5 Goals is just as strong. Chelsea's six fixtures have produced a total of 29 goals, with the Blues scoring 16 and conceding 13. They have failed to score in an away league match on only four occasions since the start of last season.
Defensively, Chelsea has allowed 36 shots on target, more than any other team in the league. Everton is also due for more goals, as they are currently underperforming their xG by 1.00.
Given Chelsea's attacking prowess and defensive frailties, combined with Everton's consistent home scoring, a high-scoring affair seems likely.
Chelsea vs. Everton Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 46.9% | 23.4% | 29.7% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | 3.00 | 1.31 |
