With a new course, it can be tough to tell what to target when trying to find a player at long odds who can actually win.
We can make a few guesses, but we’re never really too sure what sort of style fits the course or who feels comfortable there until we see a few rounds.
— Chris Kirk (@Chris_Kirk_) October 17, 2017
That’s the case with the CJ Cup, so I’m taking a couple different approaches with my two 100-1 plays this week.
The first is Brian Harman at 100-1. Harman had a hot summer with a runner-up finish at the U.S. Open along with a couple other top-10s. He also won The Wells Fargo Championship in May. He cooled off, however, in the playoffs, with his best finish being 24th in the 30-man Tour Championship. Despite slowing down at the end of the year, I think there’s value at 100-1 for a player of Harman’s caliber. He’s won twice in his career, including last season. With half the field size and no cut, he should probably be closer to 66-1 range with the Graham Delaet and Kyle Stanleys of the world.
The other play is Nick Taylor at 100-1. This is based on his recent form. Taylor has played the first two tournaments of the new season, finishing now ninth and 13th. I’m not sure if this number presents the same value as Harman, but I know he’s playing pretty solid right now with two good results back to back, and the lone win of his career came during the fall swing in 2014.
Full Card (Units)
Daniel Berger 33-1 (1.1)
Russel Henley 40-1 (.8)
J.B. Holmes 55-1 (.75)
Danny Lee 75-1 (.45)
Nick Taylor 100-1 (.35)
Brian Harman 100-1 (.35)
Top Fives on each as well
Young-Han Song 6-1 (1)
Charles Howell III 10-1 (1)
Adam Scott over Pat Perez -105 (1.05)
Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. He’s one of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22
Photo: © Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports