Henrik Stenson Enters U.S. Open on Ball-Striking Hot Streak


Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Captioned: Henrik Stenson

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.

The Info: Henrik Stenson

DFS Pricing: $8,800 DraftKings, $11,300 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-21, T-4, T-27, WD, MC

Odds: +3300 to win, +275 top-10 finish, +135 top-20 finish, -500 to make cut, +300 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +300 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Henrik Stenson (-105) over Jordan Spieth

Tee Times: 1:47 p.m. (Thursday); 8:02 a.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.

The Outlook

The Swedish elite ball-striker is tailor-made for the British Open, but his lack of distance with his driver has held him back at the U.S. version, especially compared to the other stud players. That said, he does have a T4 back in 2014. What Stenson does have going for him is excellent recent play: He ranks fifth in Recent Adjusted Round Score and is third and first, respectively, in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Approach. For that reason, I’d be very interested in his odds to make the cut and to place in the top 25. Winning the thing over the bombers, however, will require a miraculous weekend of ball-striking.

The Metrics

Here’s how Stenson ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-8th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-5th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 3rd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 99th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 1st

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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