The fourth and final day of the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets underway on Sunday at Bay Hill in Orlando, Florida.
Daniel Berger leads the Arnold Palmer Invitational after the first three days at 13-under par. He holds a three-stroke lead over the rest of the field, but the tournament is still up for grabs with one day remaining.
Here is my pick for the Arnold Palmer Invitational Day 4 best bets for Sunday.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Day 4 Odds, Best Bets
Daniel Berger Outright Winner (-120 at BetMGM)
Round 3 was suspended due to darkness on Saturday, with the culmination of the round set to resume Sunday morning. Daniel Berger has three holes remaining in his third round and holds a three-stroke lead over the rest of the field, a gap that will likely prove tough to overcome Sunday.
With how difficult the course is likely to play on Sunday, it will likely take Berger collapsing rather than someone surging past him. The good news for Berger is that he profiles well for this venue.
Course length is a significant factor at Bay Hill. Last season, 20.4% of approach shots came from the 175-200-yard range, nearly 4% higher than any other 25-yard grouping.
Entering this week, Berger ranks nearly 2% above the PGA Tour average in birdie-or-better percentage on approach shots from 175-200 yards. Given his efficiency with the long irons, it’s not shocking that Berger has finished inside the top 15 in two of his three career appearances at Bay Hill.
With his lead entering Sunday, he profiles well enough to play a safe round and protect his three-stroke lead.
