Scottie Scheffler Joins Tiger Woods in Golf Betting History at 2024 U.S. Open

Scottie Scheffler Joins Tiger Woods in Golf Betting History at 2024 U.S. Open article feature image

Via Getty Images/Action Network Design. Pictured: Scottie Scheffler (left) and Tiger Woods (right).

Scottie Scheffler is listed between +300 and +325 to win the 2024 U.S. Open at Pinehurst No. 2 this week. For some context, no other golfer is listed below +1200, with Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele priced second in odds.

What's the reason for Scheffler's low odds? Well, of course, his consistent winning this year:

"Five players have won the Masters, The Players Championship and the Memorial Tournament in their careers: Scottie Scheffler, Tiger Woods, Fred Couples, Raymond Floyd and Jack Nicklaus.

Scheffler (2024) and Woods (2001) are the only players to win all 3 in the same year."

This is a great nugget from Justin Ray.

So, just how low is +325 odds to win a major? I'm glad you asked.

In the last 40 years of men's golf major championships, only 11 different golfers have been listed below +500 odds to win a major — including Scottie Scheffler, who was +450 to win the PGA Championship earlier this year.

Let's dive into a few facts and figures on Scheffler's odds.

  • In the last 40 years of majors, only Tiger Woods has had shorter odds to win any major. Tiger had shorter odds than Scottie's +325 in 30 total majors. Yes, you read that right. He had odds of +300 or shorter in 30 major championships.
  • The last time a golfer had odds this low in a major was Tiger Woods back in 2009 for the PGA Championship when he was listed at +180.

2009 was a special year for the Tiger Woods betting history fan club — that was the last time he was listed below +500 odds in all four majors — which he did an absurd seven times (2009, 2007, 2005, 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000).

  • As I mentioned above, Scheffler is listed below +500 odds to win a major for the second time already this season, having already done so at the PGA Championship (+450).

He is just the fourth golfer in the last 40 years to be listed below +500 in multiple majors in the same year: Scottie Scheffler, Tiger Woods, Greg Norman and Seve Ballesteros.

It is worth noting that Tiger did this 10 times in his career. Norman did it twice in this span (1988-89), and so did Ballesteros (1985, 1988).

  • To put the entire list of majors into some perspective: In the last 40 years, there have been 60 instances of a golfer listed below +500 to win a major. Tiger represented 65% of those instances (39). The next closest was Greg Norman with six, or 10%.

Here is the list Scheffler looks to climb.

Most Majors Listed Under +500 — Last 40 Years
39, Tiger Woods
6, Greg Norman
4, Seve Ballesteros
2, Scottie Scheffler, Bernhard Langer, Tom Watson

  • Now let's talk about what really matters. Winning.

Of those 59 instances where a golfer was listed under +500 to win a major prior to this week, 13 actually won the tournament that week (22%), 20 finished in the top two (34%) and 29 finished in the top five on the leaderboard (49%).

Of the 13 winners, Tiger Woods owns 12 of those wins, with Nick Faldo in 1990 at the Open Championship representing the other victory — another list Scheffler looks to join this week.

Looking specifically at Tiger for fun: He went 12/39 in winning majors when listed below +500 at 31%. He finished among the top two in 18/39 majors (46%) and finished in the top five in 23/39 majors (59%).

When listed below +500 at a major, Tiger Woods was more likely to finish in the top two (18 times) than he was to finish outside the top five (17 times).

Note: All data is via Sports Odds History and GolfOdds via Jeff Sherman.

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