Premier Lacrosse League Odds, Picks & Betting Preview: 11 Prop Bets for Week 9
HEMPSTEAD, NY – JULY 04: Atlas goalieJack Concannon (12) during the Professional Lacrosse League game between Chrome and Atlas on July 4, 2021 at James M. Shuart Stadium in Hempstead, NY. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
- The Premier Lacrosse League kicks off Week 9 this weekend, and our props analyst has 11 prop bets lined up for you to tail.
- Check out Hutton Jackson's picks and analysis below for the weekend's four-game slate.
The Premier Lacrosse League heads to Denver for Week Nine, and both DraftKings and BetMGM have posted a plethora of player props. Even better, it comes during the first week that Action Network app users can use the BetSync feature to automatically track their DraftKings bets in the app. So, let’s sync our DraftKings accounts with the app and take a look at which PLL props are worth a wager this weekend.
If you’re an avid bettor who’s new to lacrosse or a lacrosse fan who’s new to betting, check out my guide on how to bet on lacrosse for some tips to use when placing a lacrosse bet.
Redwoods (-1.5) vs. Cannons
|Time||Friday, 9 p.m. ET|
Odds via BetMGM.
The Redwoods and Cannons face off in what feels like a must-win for both teams. With only three weeks left in the season, both teams will need big games out of their stars to secure a victory. Poor performances from a few of the Redwoods’ big names have been part of why the team currently sits at 2-5.
Nonetheless, the Woods offense has looked better in recent weeks, registering their first two games this season with 12 goals or more. The offense has been led by the elevated play of Rob Pannell, who’s recorded three or more points in the past three games.
His points prop total is currently 3.5 (-115 on BetMGM), but expecting the 32-year-old attackman to put up four points—even against a Cannons defense that is giving up goals on 30% of possessions—is a very tight margin.
RP3 could surpass this points prop on Friday night, but the better bet is to play the over on his assists prop of 2.5 assists (+175 on BetMGM). In the past three seasons, Pannell has been a feeder first, and it’s much more likely that he’ll be assisting than scoring against a Cannons defense that has given up the most shots in the middle of the field and second-most on the doorstep—two spots that the veteran attackman loves to find teammates for goals.
The Cannons are also giving up a league-high 149 assisted shots, which plays into betting Pannell to go over 2.5 assists in Denver.
Two players who could be recipients of a Pannell assist on Friday are attackman Matt Kavanagh and midfielder Sergio Perkovic. While both have struggled to find the back of the net this season, this is a great buy-low spot for two players who should have ample opportunities to score against this Cannons defense. Both goal props are currently set at 0.5 goals.
While Kavanagh has yet to have a multi-goal game this season, he’s had at least one goal in four of six games and had two goals against the Cannons last season.
Perkovic has also struggled this season but has had a goal in three of their last four games and should have more opportunities if Jules Heningburg (listed as doubtful) is ruled out of Friday’s game. Bet both Kavanagh and Perkovic to go over their goal props of 0.5 goals.
Picks: Matt Kavanagh Over 0.5 Goals, Sergio Perkovic Over 0.5 Goals, Rob Pannell Over 2.5 Assists
Chrome (-1.5) vs. Chaos
|Time||Saturday, 11:30 a.m. ET|
Odds via BetMGM.
Chaos got a pivotal win last week, while Chrome’s losing streak was extended to three games after starting the season 4-0. Chrome’s matchup this weekend is much more advantageous than their past three opponents on both sides of the ball.
The Chrome offense failed to score at least 10 goals for the first time this season last week, but they face a Chaos defense that is tied for last in defensive efficiency. This creates another advantageous spot for all three of Chrome’s attackers who are coming off of underwhelming performances.
The Chaos’ defensive style also makes this matchup all the more enticing. Chaos trusts their defenders to win one-on-one matchups and almost never slides, preferring to let 2021 MVP Blaze Riorden make stops on clean looks. It worked for Chaos during their 2021 PLL Championship run when Johnny Surdick was on the roster. In 2022, however, Chaos has conceded a league-high 308 shots and allowed a league-worst 58.1% goals per unassisted shots.
This sets up nicely for Chrome attackmen Brendan Nichtern, Dylan Molloy and Logan Wisnauskas to have big days. Molloy’s goal prop is 1.5 goals (-105 on BetMGM), and he’s gone over this mark in three of the four games that he’s taken seven or more shots. I expect Molloy to score against the Chaos defense more than he has the past two games. He could also be the recipient of a feed from either Nichtern or Wisnauskas.
Nichtern’s assists prop is set at 2.5 (+115 on BetMGM), and I think he’ll have a much better shot at going over this mark than his current points prop of 4.5. Nichtern is my favorite to win rookie of the year and recorded four assists against the Cannons and Waterdogs—two teams that rank towards the bottom in defensive efficiency along with Chaos and Redwoods.
Finally, Wisnauskas is also due for a big game, but his points prop is 3.5 (-115 on BetMGM), and he’s more likely to go over this number via a combination of goals and assists. Overall, I expect a big day out of the Chrome starting attack against a weak Chaos defense.
Dhane Smith is a player who lit up the stat sheet last week, but I am fading him this week. Smith erupted for seven points (one goal, six assists) last week, which was his best PLL game statistically ever. However, this week he’s facing the top-ranked defense in settled defensive efficiency and will deal with a combination of Chrome’s all-star defenders and lockdown short-stick defensive middies.
While Smith has gone over his points prop of 3.5 twice this season already, this matchup will be his toughest so far this season. He’s also only recorded more than three points just three times in his PLL career, which makes his Week Nine points prop looking like an overreaction to his three most recent games. Fade the Great Dhane this week and bet Under 3.5 Points (+100 on DraftKings).
Picks: Brendan Nichtern Over 2.5 Assists, Dylan Molloy Over 1.5 Goals, Logan Wisnauskas Over 3.5 Points, Dhane Smith Under 3.5 Points
Waterdogs vs. Atlas (-1.5)
|Time||Saturday, 2 p.m. ET|
Odds via BetMGM.
The Waterdogs look to keep their win streak alive, while Atlas look to make up some ground on the Whipsnakes in the standings. The Atlas looked more like themselves last week with MVP favorite Trevor Baptiste back in the lineup. The result was a big offensive day for their starting attack, including Jeff Teat, who had four assists in the 14-9 win.
Teat will get a chance to add to his assists total on Saturday when facing a defense that has allowed the second-most assisted shots and the third worst assist rate allowed (50%) in the league. The Waterdogs defense has also allowed goals in transition at a league a league-worst 42% and will contend with the second-best transition offense headlined by Teat. This sets up a valuable spot to bet Teat’s assists prop of Over 1.5 Assists (-125 on BetMGM).
Atlas goalie Jack Concannon also has a favorable matchup against the Waterdogs. As we highlighted last week, the Waterdogs take the most shots in the league (298), and 25.7% of their possessions end in an opponent save, which is worst in the league. This should provide ample opportunities for Concannon to go over his saves prop of 12.5 this week.
Picks: Jeff Teat Over 1.5 Assists, Jack Concannon Over 12.5 Saves
Archers vs. Whipsnakes (-1.5)
|Time||Saturday, 4:40 p.m. ET|
Odds via BetMGM.
The Archers and Whipsnakes face off in a game that will determine who ends up at the top of the standings at the end of the week. Both teams are hoping for big games out of their star attackmen, and two players specifically will excel.
Will Manny is coming off a disappointing one-point showing against Atlas after starting off the season recording multi-point performances in every game prior. While Manny has contributed as an initiator this season, he is traditionally more of a goal-scorer than feeder.
That’s why I like his goals prop to go over 1.5 (-115 on BetMGM) more than his points prop of 3.5. He’ll face a Whipsnakes defense that he’s historically had success against, recording two goals and four goals in these teams’ past two meetings. This week is a great buy-low spot for the lefty attackman.
Zed Williams is another attackman who should exceed his goals prop of 1.5. While Willams hasn’t been as dominant as he was in 2020 and 2021, he’s had two goals in the past two games, and the Whips are getting him more involved via two-man games from the right wing.
Last season, Williams also had a four-goal and two-goal game against the Archers, and the Whips’ new offensive scheme could cause some issues for an Archers defense that’s quick-to-slide scheme could get exposed by the Whips’ two-man game action. Bet the over on his goals prop of 1.5 (-115 on BetMGM)
Picks: Will Manny Over 1.5 Goals, Zed Williams Over 1.5 Goals