Astros vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 7, 2025

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

Williams has been dealing lately, clearing this number in 5 of his last 6 starts. But this is a tougher spot to rack up strikeouts. The Astros are a challenging matchup — they have the 8th-lowest whiff rate in the league, swing at the first pitch more than any team, and make contact on pitches in the zone at the 2nd-highest rate. That combo makes it harder for pitchers to get into two-strike counts and harder to finish them off when they do. Williams leans on his sweeper as his top put-away pitch, but Houston is also 8th in whiff rate against sweepers — so they match up well with what he does best. His best K chances are the 4, 7, and 9 hitters, but I’m projecting he gets pulled before facing the 7 and 9 hitters a third time, which caps some of his upside. I have his most likely outcome at 5 Ks and project this closer to -150 to stay under.

Wind blowing in 9.2 MPH at Progressive favors the arms – helps suppress Houston’s bats. Astros cooling off: .270 wOBA & 68 wRC+ over last 7 days, both bottom 6 in MLB. Hunter Brown’s still elite but 2.51 road ERA is nearly a full run higher than at home – regression looming. Gavin Williams locked in – 2.30 ERA over last 5 starts. Guardians 4-2 in his home starts. Last outing: 6.2 scoreless, 1 hit vs Angels. Houston’s .253 AVG hiding inefficiency – just 4.03 runs/game (22nd MLB). Cleveland thrives in small-ball spots: bunts, sac flies, situational ABs. Ramírez is the X-factor – .330 AVG, 11 HRs, elite RISP bat. Guardians’ pen underrated, 3.82 ERA (15th) but clutch in close games. Day game + home underdog vibes = edge in motivation. Cleveland’s urgency > Houston’s pressure. Astros won 7 of 8 vs CLE? Payback time.