Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 31, 2024

Diamondbacks at Mets

11:10 pm • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

26-24

9 - 10

New York Mets

30-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
J.Montgomery			6.23	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 26-24	-1.5+171	o7-119	+103
Mets 30-20	+1.5-205	u7-102	-123

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 31, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

2.03u

NYM -115

2.61u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

1.4u

-130 Caesars

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-140

Severino under in 6/10. Whiff rates in the 24th percentile, and CSW% is 76th of 78 qualifying pitchers. Diamondbacks as a team with the 7th lowest CSW% vs righties,

NYM -108

0.5u

Wynn. Bet to -117

NYM -106 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -115

Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 40% of their games this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.2 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (25 games). The Diamondbacks have allowed 5.1 runs per game at home this season -- fourth highest in MLB (28 games).

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The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.

41% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- second highest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 52% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

45% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 52% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (26/165) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .037 vs right-handed batters (best)-- 100th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for fourth worst among qualified SPs)-- eighth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 11-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Mets' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	23-27	12-10	11-17	15-21	8-6
Diamondbacks	24-26	12-14	12-12	14-18	10-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	17-32-1	7-14-1	10-18	16-19-1	1-13
Diamondbacks	22-25-3	9-14-3	13-11	15-14-3	7-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	30-20	17-5	13-15	23-13	7-7
Diamondbacks	26-24	13-13	13-11	18-14	8-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 30th	ARI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7	NYM +105
May 29th	LAD	L 3-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD +101
May 28th	LAD	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +108
May 28th	LAD	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	LAD +164
May 26th	SF	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -105

Frankie Montas
SP
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
SP
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
SP
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
CF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
SS
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P		83	4	4	6
LL.Allen, P		67	4	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	2-4	2	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	2	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	2-4	2	1	4
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-5	0	0	2
6J.McCarthy, RF	0-3	0	0	1
7E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
8G.Moreno, C	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Newman, SS	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	97	5.1	4	4
RD.Nunez, P	9	0.2	2	0
LJ.Diekman, P	13	1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	23	1.1	1	2
RR.Garrett, P	8	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0	1
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	1	0	1
3B.Nimmo, LF	2-5	2	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	1-4	3	1	2
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0	4
6M.Vientos, 3B	3-5	0	0	2
7H.Bader, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Iglesias, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-3	2	0	0