Guardians vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2025

Guardians at Orioles

10:35 pm • CLEG

Cleveland Guardians

37-35

2 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

31-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Sugano			3.38	5-4
T.Bibee			3.79	4-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 37-35	-1.5	+1.5-197	o8-111	+116
Orioles 31-42	u8.5	-1.5+155	u8-110	-136

Thursday 10:35 p.m.

April 17, 2025

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

CLE +2.5 (Live)-130

1.3u

S.Kwan o1 Total Bases (Live)+145

0.5u

3.2% ev

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+110

CLE +117

#BQ

BAL -125

1.6u

CLE +110

🔑 Guardians ML +110 (DraftKings) 3u I’m cursed rn so tail cautiously. The Os have not impressed me this year. I think the Guards will be able to hit off Sugano. Bibee is a strikeout pitcher and the Os K a ton. 🔨time on Guards (for me)

Over 7.5-166

0.3u

T.Bibee o4.5 Ks-138

Proj closer to -165. Classic ‘buy low’ spot..or should I say ‘Buy-bee low’ spot? (I’ll show myself out). His K% rate is down 10% from last season at 16% but I’m not seeing any major red flags (his expected K rate is popping at 26%) and 2 of his 3 starts were against the Royals so far (they have 7th lowest whiff rate). He’s not going to turn into Paul Skenes going forward but having exposure to 5 with him is decent value here.

CLE -110

Drown the dirty birds (-101 on PX)

CLE -110 (F5)

1.1u

Over 8.5-111

1.11u

K.Manzardo o0.5 HR+630

0.5u

J.Ramirez o0.5 HR+550

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-120

J.Holliday u0.5 Singles-140

🔥All Access VIP Picks⬇️ https://linktr.ee/moneylinehacks Get VIP Pick Texts to Your Phone Get our best plays via SMS and unlock full access to the MoneylineHacks Discord community. 🚨3000+ members strong. 📈16-6 on Tennis PODs the last 2 weeks. Choose the option that works best for you��️: • VIP Picks via Winible (SMS Text Access) • VIP Picks via DubClub 🚨Use promo code HACKS60 for 60% OFF your subscription.

CLE -123 (F5)

T.Sugano o3.5 Ks+124

Have him projected at 3.56 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range have been roughly a coin flip to go over 3.5 for me.

BAL -105

0.95u

Bet365

T.Sugano u1.5 BB+140

0.42u

CLE -117

1.17u

Over 8.5-110

Bibee's K% down to 15.9, walk rate up to 11.1%. Sugano? 5.90 xERA, .305 xBA, 43.1% hard-hit rate. Both arms bleeding contact. Baltimore ranks 9th in runs (4.59/game), Guardians slug .379 with 20 HR in 17 games. Wind blowing out + warm Baltimore night? Boom time. Orioles hitting .237, but 35.6% of hits are for extra bases – 9th in MLB. Guardians low volume but 20 HR already, and both teams hit 1.18 HR/game. Sugano’s 1.57 WHIP is shaky, Bibee's .488 xSLG suggests he's getting barreled often. Neither pen ranked top 12 in ERA or WHIP. Bibee’s control issues = traffic. Sugano’s 15.6% whiff rate = no swing-and-miss. Last 8 matchups: 7 of last 8 sailed Over 8.5.

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+500

BAL +105

0.53u

Thursday. Bet to -105

Over 8.5-105

0.53u

Thursday. Bet to 9 (+100)

3 MLB Best Bets for Thursday
Action Network Staff•
Apr 17, 2025 UTC
Zerillo's MLB Predictions & Thursday Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2025 UTC
2 Razor-Sharp Picks for MLB Thursday
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 16, 2025 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 16-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Orioles' 35 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	27-46	11-24	16-22	13-28	13-18
Guardians	36-36	17-17	19-19	13-12	23-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	32-38-3	19-14-2	13-24-1	20-19-2	12-18-1
Guardians	30-38-4	15-18-1	15-20-3	13-12	17-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	31-42	16-19	15-23	18-23	12-19
Guardians	37-35	19-15	18-20	16-9	21-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	CLE	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 8	BAL -128
Apr 15th	CLE	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -152
Apr 13th	TOR	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -135
Apr 12th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	BAL -125
Apr 9th	@ARI	L 0-9	-1.5 L	U 9	ARI +100

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Adley Rutschman
C
Rutschman is out with oblique
Out
Cade Povich
SP
Povich is out with hip
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	99	5.2	5	6
RJ.Junis, P	13	0.2	0	0
LT.Herrin, P	11	1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	8	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Arias, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Jones, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6L.Thomas, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
8A.Hedges, C	1-3	1	1	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Sugano, P	87	7	3	2
LK.Akin, P	16	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	5	0.1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2G.Henderson, SS	2-4	2	1	1
3A.Rutschman, C	0-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, RF	2-3	1	1	3
4R.Laureano, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Westburg, DH	0-4	1	0	0
6H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	1	1	2
6H.Kjerstad, RF	1-2	1	1	2
7R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9R.Urias, 3B	1-2	0	0	0