Marlins vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Marlins at Phillies

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH

Miami Marlins

37-45

3 - 2

Philadelphia Phillies

50-35

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
R.Munoz			6.53	2-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 37-45	+1.5+105	o9-102	+210
Phillies 50-35	-1.5-125	u9-116	-259

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

June 29, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

PHI -1.5-124

G.Stubbs o0.5 SB+624

0.5u

Watch out for Speedball Stubbs

PHI -1.5-120

I take my religion extremely serious

MIA u3.5 Team Total-140

0.71u

The fish can’t hit water out of a barrel

A.Nola o6.5 Ks+114

1.14u

Lock in Aaron “Father Figure” Nola

A.Nola u6.5 Ks-132

1.32u

Under in 11/16. 26.9% CSW% his lowest of his career by a whopping 2.7%, and his swinging strike rate has plummeted to his lowest since 2016. The Marlins will swing at everything, usually making weak contact. Nola could easily go 7 IP, but I still don’t see enough 2 strike counts coming his way.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have scored three or more runs in an inning just 30 times (4%) this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 5-18 (.217) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .109.

Tim Anderson is batting just .174 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Jazz Chisholm is batting .371 with RISP this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .313 (21-for-67) against Aaron Nola with RISP this season -- tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs-- 10th Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has walked 18 of 154 batters (12%) this season -- tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- fifth Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (99/287) when he's behind in the count this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 23-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Phillies' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	43-42	20-21	23-21	33-33	10-9
Marlins	47-35	20-21	27-14	3-7	43-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	34-47-4	20-19-2	14-28-2	27-35-4	7-12
Marlins	42-40	18-23	24-17	5-5	36-34

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	50-35	27-14	23-21	43-23	7-12
Marlins	37-45	17-24	20-21	5-5	32-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	MIA	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	PHI -225
Jun 27th	MIA	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -299
Jun 26th	@DET	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -166
Jun 25th	@DET	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 7	DET -120
Jun 24th	@DET	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	PHI -180

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Munoz, P	79	4.2	4	2
LA.Nardi, P	16	1.1	2	0
LA.Puk, P	19	1	0	0
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	2	0
LT.Scott, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	0	0	1
2B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3E.Rivera, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Burger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, LF	2-4	1	1	1
7T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	100	6.2	9	3
LM.Strahm, P	7	0.1	1	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	13	1	1	0
RO.Kerkering, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Bohm, DH	0-2	0	0	1
4B.Marsh, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6K.Clemens, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
6C.Pache, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7E.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-2	1	1	1
8W.Merrifield, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8R.Marchan, C	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-2	1	0	0