Mets vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - August 23, 2024

Mets at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

New York Mets

14-22

8 - 3

San Diego Padres

22-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			3.47	14-11
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 14-22	+1.5	+1.5-166	o7.5-103	+135
Padres 22-14	u7	-1.5+140	u7.5-118	-161

Friday 1:40 a.m.

August 23, 2024

Petco ParkSan Diego

M.Machado o1.5 Total Bases+120

$1.00

SD -1.5+140

$1.00

SD -1.5+145

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+500

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-135

1.35u

SD -160

#5Starsmlb

SD -146

0.73u

Severino 4.37 SIERA/3.85 xERA, Cease 3.23/3.29 - SDP 113/116 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, NYM 112/109 - SDP pen estimators a run better and best in MLB L30 days. Also no off day for Mets before starting west coast trip.

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Featured Insight
Padres left-handed hitters have struck out just 10% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of just 12% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

29% of Brandon Nimmo strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 86th Percentile. 32% of Bryan Hoeing strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 9-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Padres' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	21-15	12-7	9-8	12-9	9-6
Mets	13-23	4-14	9-9	9-18	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	16-19-1	10-8-1	6-11	9-11-1	7-8
Mets	14-20-2	8-8-2	6-12	11-14-2	3-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	22-14	11-8	11-6	13-8	9-6
Mets	14-22	6-12	8-10	11-16	3-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 21st	MIN	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -125
Aug 21st	MIN	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8	SD +102
Aug 20th	MIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7	SD -180
Aug 18th	@COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 11.5	COL -202
Aug 18th	@COL	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 10.5	SD -198

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	87	5	5	1
LD.Young, P	14	1	2	0
RR.Garrett, P	13	1	0	0
RP.Maton, P	22	1	0	0
RH.Brazoban, P	36	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-4	2	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	0	3
2H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	3-5	1	1
5J.Winker, DH	2-5	2	1
6J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	1	1
6J.Iglesias, 3B	2-5	1	1
7F.Alvarez, C	0-5	0	0
8J.McNeil, RF	3-4	1	1
8J.McNeil, 2B	3-4	1	1
9T.Taylor, CF	2-4	1	0
9T.Taylor, RF	2-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	106	6.1	7	2
RB.Hoeing, P	24	1.2	3	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	28	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	2-5	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-4	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-5	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-3	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0
7D.Peralta, RF	2-3	1	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-3	1	0
9M.McCoy, SS	1-2	1	1