Yankees vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Yankees at Mets

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Yankees

New York Mets

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brazoban			2.14	2-1
C.Rodon			6.23	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 28-17	-1.5	-1.5+135	o8.5-105	-121
Mets 18-26	u8.5	+1.5-165	u8.5-115	+102

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

72°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

9Wind

A.Slater u0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+120

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.97 hits runs and rbis for Austin Slater compared to 1.20 hits runs and rbis implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 56% of the time, resulting in a 23% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $23.02. This play is good down to at least -103. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYY -130

1.3u

C.Rodon u16.5 Outs-130

0.65u

J.Chisholm o0.5 HR+950

0.25u

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.15 home runs for Jazz Chisholm. Oddsmakers are implying 0.10 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 13% of the time resulting in a 39% ROI with expected value of $38.71 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +733. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYM +117

NYM o3.5-115

1.15u

NYY -128

0.64u

Bet to -140

The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday
Matt Trollo•
May 16, 2026 UTC
Yankees vs Mets: Expect Rodon's Struggles to Continue
Doug Ziefel•
May 16, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 10-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Mets' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	17-27	7-15	10-12	12-20	5-7
Yankees	25-20	12-8	13-12	23-19	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	16-25-3	10-9-3	6-16	13-17-2	3-8-1
Yankees	18-24-3	12-7-1	6-17-2	17-22-3	1-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	18-26	9-13	9-13	14-18	4-8
Yankees	28-17	14-6	14-11	26-16	2-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +123
May 14th	DET	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -162
May 13th	DET	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -120
May 12th	DET	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -145
May 10th	@ARI	L 1-5	-	U 8.5	ARI -105

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out with elbow
Out
Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
LC.Rodon, P		0-0	6.23	1.615	8.31

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1B.Rice, DH	.314	.418	.686	14
2A.Judge, RF	.267	.401	.609	16
3C.Bellinger, LF	.270	.374	.472	5
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B	.262	.357	.557	4
5J.Chisholm, 2B	.217	.295	.344	4
6A.Rosario, 3B	.268	.316	.493	4
7T.Grisham, CF	.169	.302	.352	6
8A.Volpe, SS	.000	.429	.000	0
9A.Wells, C	.173	.298	.269	3

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RH.Brazoban, P		2-1	2.14	0.952	6.86

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1C.Benge, RF	.230	.288	.333	3
2B.Bichette, SS	.213	.264	.275	2
3J.Soto, LF	.271	.363	.495	6
4M.Vientos, 1B	.234	.278	.419	6
5M.Semien, 2B	.229	.291	.325	3
6A.Ewing, CF	.250	.438	.667	1
7A.Slater, DH	.278	.278	.333	0
8B.Baty, 3B	.230	.303	.341	2
9L.Torrens, C	.204	.259	.278	0